Forecast models and Miami's subtropical June climatology, with typical daily maxima near 88°F amid rising solar insolation and high humidity, underpin the market's emphasis on 90–93°F outcomes. Persistent light winds and a classic sea-breeze regime allow daytime heating, yet scattered afternoon thunderstorms—driven by convective available potential energy and moisture from the Atlantic—frequently develop by early afternoon, introducing 1–3°F cooling via cloud cover and evaporation. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs for June 14 show consensus around upper-80s to low-90s peaks, with limited model spread supporting the tight 90–91°F and 92–93°F brackets. Traders weigh storm-initiation timing against historical analogs, where delayed convection permits brief pushes higher while early activity caps readings near the lower end of the favored range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月14日邁阿密的最高溫度?
90-91°F 56%
92-93°F 36%
88-89°F 8.0%
94-95°F 2.7%
$25,813 交易量
$25,813 交易量
81°F或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
56%
92-93°F
36%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
華氏100度或更高
<1%
90-91°F 56%
92-93°F 36%
88-89°F 8.0%
94-95°F 2.7%
$25,813 交易量
$25,813 交易量
81°F或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
56%
92-93°F
36%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
華氏100度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models and Miami's subtropical June climatology, with typical daily maxima near 88°F amid rising solar insolation and high humidity, underpin the market's emphasis on 90–93°F outcomes. Persistent light winds and a classic sea-breeze regime allow daytime heating, yet scattered afternoon thunderstorms—driven by convective available potential energy and moisture from the Atlantic—frequently develop by early afternoon, introducing 1–3°F cooling via cloud cover and evaporation. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs for June 14 show consensus around upper-80s to low-90s peaks, with limited model spread supporting the tight 90–91°F and 92–93°F brackets. Traders weigh storm-initiation timing against historical analogs, where delayed convection permits brief pushes higher while early activity caps readings near the lower end of the favored range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions