Recent short-range forecasts for Lucknow indicate daytime maxima near 38–42°C on June 16 under continued pre-monsoon conditions, with high pressure and light winds limiting cloud cover and allowing strong solar heating. Official IMD guidance and multiple model runs show limited moisture influx, keeping the region under heatwave-prone patterns typical for mid-June in the Gangetic plain. Recent observations from June 14 (around 42°C) and model consensus for minimal rainfall or thunderstorm activity support the market’s clustering around 37–39°C, while higher outcomes remain possible only if subsidence strengthens further. Forecast uncertainty stems from potential early monsoon surges or localized convection that could cap temperatures below model peaks. Updated IMD and global ensemble guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 16?
38°C 37%
39°C 24%
37°C 15%
36°C 8.8%
35°C or below
2%
36°C
9%
37°C
15%
38°C
37%
39°C
24%
40°C
7%
41°C
3%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
38°C 37%
39°C 24%
37°C 15%
36°C 8.8%
35°C or below
2%
36°C
9%
37°C
15%
38°C
37%
39°C
24%
40°C
7%
41°C
3%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 14, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts for Lucknow indicate daytime maxima near 38–42°C on June 16 under continued pre-monsoon conditions, with high pressure and light winds limiting cloud cover and allowing strong solar heating. Official IMD guidance and multiple model runs show limited moisture influx, keeping the region under heatwave-prone patterns typical for mid-June in the Gangetic plain. Recent observations from June 14 (around 42°C) and model consensus for minimal rainfall or thunderstorm activity support the market’s clustering around 37–39°C, while higher outcomes remain possible only if subsidence strengthens further. Forecast uncertainty stems from potential early monsoon surges or localized convection that could cap temperatures below model peaks. Updated IMD and global ensemble guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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