Current forecast guidance from regional models places Cape Town’s June 16 maximum near the climatological winter average of 17–18 °C, with limited sunshine and moderate westerly flow after recent frontal passages keeping readings close to seasonal norms. The near-even split between the 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes reflects small but persistent differences across ensemble members regarding daytime heating, cloud cover, and wind strength, while probabilities drop sharply above 20 °C or below 17 °C because long-term records show such extremes are uncommon in mid-June. Updated runs ahead of the event will determine whether any modest warming signal materializes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 16?
19°C 35%
18°C 32%
20°C 20%
17°C 6%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
32%
19°C
35%
20°C
20%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 35%
18°C 32%
20°C 20%
17°C 6%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
32%
19°C
35%
20°C
20%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 14, 2026, 1:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast guidance from regional models places Cape Town’s June 16 maximum near the climatological winter average of 17–18 °C, with limited sunshine and moderate westerly flow after recent frontal passages keeping readings close to seasonal norms. The near-even split between the 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes reflects small but persistent differences across ensemble members regarding daytime heating, cloud cover, and wind strength, while probabilities drop sharply above 20 °C or below 17 °C because long-term records show such extremes are uncommon in mid-June. Updated runs ahead of the event will determine whether any modest warming signal materializes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions