Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus drives trader sentiment toward the 70–75°F range for Chicago’s June 16 high, with 72–73°F and 74–75°F holding the highest implied probabilities at 28% and 26%. Moderate southwesterly flow and limited heat advection from the Plains, combined with potential lake-breeze cooling off Lake Michigan, favor these brackets over warmer outcomes. Ensemble spread remains notable, however, as differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage could shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow this uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於芝加哥6月16日的最高溫度？
芝加哥6月16日的最高溫度？
72-73°F 34%
70-71°F 19%
74-75°F 18%
68-69°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
63°F或以下
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
34%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
1%
華氏82度或更高
<1%
72-73°F 34%
70-71°F 19%
74-75°F 18%
68-69°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
63°F或以下
$86 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$6 交易量
2%
66-67°F
$36 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$40 交易量
11%
70-71°F
$11 交易量
19%
72-73°F
$251 交易量
34%
74-75°F
$145 交易量
18%
76-77°F
$5 交易量
7%
78-79°F
$8 交易量
5%
80-81°F
$52 交易量
1%
華氏82度或更高
$168 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus drives trader sentiment toward the 70–75°F range for Chicago’s June 16 high, with 72–73°F and 74–75°F holding the highest implied probabilities at 28% and 26%. Moderate southwesterly flow and limited heat advection from the Plains, combined with potential lake-breeze cooling off Lake Michigan, favor these brackets over warmer outcomes. Ensemble spread remains notable, however, as differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage could shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow this uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$684結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus drives trader sentiment toward the 70–75°F range for Chicago’s June 16 high, with 72–73°F and 74–75°F holding the highest implied probabilities at 28% and 26%. Moderate southwesterly flow and limited heat advection from the Plains, combined with potential lake-breeze cooling off Lake Michigan, favor these brackets over warmer outcomes. Ensemble spread remains notable, however, as differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage could shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow this uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$684結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus drives trader sentiment toward the 70–75°F range for Chicago’s June 16 high, with 72–73°F and 74–75°F holding the highest implied probabilities at 28% and 26%. Moderate southwesterly flow and limited heat advection from the Plains, combined with potential lake-breeze cooling off Lake Michigan, favor these brackets over warmer outcomes. Ensemble spread remains notable, however, as differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage could shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow this uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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