Latest meteorological models forecast overcast skies with drizzle for São Paulo on June 16, limiting solar heating and supporting a daytime high near 18°C amid typical June winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. This aligns with trader emphasis on 18–20°C outcomes, as persistent cloud cover and modest northerly winds reduce the usual diurnal temperature rise of 5–8°C above overnight lows around 13°C. Differentiating factors among closely matched probabilities include minor variations in forecast timing of any clearing or precipitation intensity, which could allow brief warming to 19–20°C if breaks occur midday. Updated runs from agencies like INMET or global ensembles, plus real-time observations tomorrow morning, will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 16?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 16?
19°C 32%
20°C 31%
18°C 24%
21°C 5.6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
24%
19°C
32%
20°C
31%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 32%
20°C 31%
18°C 24%
21°C 5.6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
14°C or below
$25 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$50 Vol.
1%
16°C
$20 Vol.
2%
17°C
$51 Vol.
2%
18°C
$171 Vol.
24%
19°C
$56 Vol.
32%
20°C
$33 Vol.
31%
21°C
$0 Vol.
6%
22°C
$25 Vol.
2%
23°C
$27 Vol.
2%
24°C or higher
$273 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological models forecast overcast skies with drizzle for São Paulo on June 16, limiting solar heating and supporting a daytime high near 18°C amid typical June winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. This aligns with trader emphasis on 18–20°C outcomes, as persistent cloud cover and modest northerly winds reduce the usual diurnal temperature rise of 5–8°C above overnight lows around 13°C. Differentiating factors among closely matched probabilities include minor variations in forecast timing of any clearing or precipitation intensity, which could allow brief warming to 19–20°C if breaks occur midday. Updated runs from agencies like INMET or global ensembles, plus real-time observations tomorrow morning, will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$408End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological models forecast overcast skies with drizzle for São Paulo on June 16, limiting solar heating and supporting a daytime high near 18°C amid typical June winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. This aligns with trader emphasis on 18–20°C outcomes, as persistent cloud cover and modest northerly winds reduce the usual diurnal temperature rise of 5–8°C above overnight lows around 13°C. Differentiating factors among closely matched probabilities include minor variations in forecast timing of any clearing or precipitation intensity, which could allow brief warming to 19–20°C if breaks occur midday. Updated runs from agencies like INMET or global ensembles, plus real-time observations tomorrow morning, will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$408End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological models forecast overcast skies with drizzle for São Paulo on June 16, limiting solar heating and supporting a daytime high near 18°C amid typical June winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. This aligns with trader emphasis on 18–20°C outcomes, as persistent cloud cover and modest northerly winds reduce the usual diurnal temperature rise of 5–8°C above overnight lows around 13°C. Differentiating factors among closely matched probabilities include minor variations in forecast timing of any clearing or precipitation intensity, which could allow brief warming to 19–20°C if breaks occur midday. Updated runs from agencies like INMET or global ensembles, plus real-time observations tomorrow morning, will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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