Official meteorological observations from São Paulo stations on August 4 confirmed a daily maximum of 26°C, aligning with the market's complete consensus at that outcome. This reflects typical subtropical winter conditions in the region, where August averages hover near 23–24°C under stable high-pressure systems and minimal frontal activity, as tracked by INMET data. The result sits comfortably within historical ranges without exceeding climatological norms for the period. While official records carry high reliability, rare post-event quality-control revisions or station-specific discrepancies could theoretically prompt reassessment, though such adjustments remain uncommon for near-real-time surface temperature readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 4?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 4?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$27,014 Vol.
$27,014 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$27,014 Vol.
$27,014 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
22°C or below
$915 Vol.
No
23°C
$901 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,344 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,671 Vol.
No
26°C
$8,936 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$3,630 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,655 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,625 Vol.
No
30°C
$612 Vol.
No
31°C
$358 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$367 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from São Paulo stations on August 4 confirmed a daily maximum of 26°C, aligning with the market's complete consensus at that outcome. This reflects typical subtropical winter conditions in the region, where August averages hover near 23–24°C under stable high-pressure systems and minimal frontal activity, as tracked by INMET data. The result sits comfortably within historical ranges without exceeding climatological norms for the period. While official records carry high reliability, rare post-event quality-control revisions or station-specific discrepancies could theoretically prompt reassessment, though such adjustments remain uncommon for near-real-time surface temperature readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$27,014End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from São Paulo stations on August 4 confirmed a daily maximum of 26°C, aligning with the market's complete consensus at that outcome. This reflects typical subtropical winter conditions in the region, where August averages hover near 23–24°C under stable high-pressure systems and minimal frontal activity, as tracked by INMET data. The result sits comfortably within historical ranges without exceeding climatological norms for the period. While official records carry high reliability, rare post-event quality-control revisions or station-specific discrepancies could theoretically prompt reassessment, though such adjustments remain uncommon for near-real-time surface temperature readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,014End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official meteorological observations from São Paulo stations on August 4 confirmed a daily maximum of 26°C, aligning with the market's complete consensus at that outcome. This reflects typical subtropical winter conditions in the region, where August averages hover near 23–24°C under stable high-pressure systems and minimal frontal activity, as tracked by INMET data. The result sits comfortably within historical ranges without exceeding climatological norms for the period. While official records carry high reliability, rare post-event quality-control revisions or station-specific discrepancies could theoretically prompt reassessment, though such adjustments remain uncommon for near-real-time surface temperature readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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