Trader consensus centers on a daily maximum of 25°C in Seoul today, driven by official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts showing clear to partly cloudy skies under a stable high-pressure ridge with light southerly winds. These conditions support gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 15°C, consistent with mid-May climatology where historical averages reach 23–25°C. Model agreement remains high across ensemble runs, though minor shifts in insolation or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak by one degree before evening verification. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty range, with resolution hinging on the final official observation reported by the national weather service.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$226,976 Vol.
$226,976 Vol.
May 17, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$226,976 Vol.
$226,976 Vol.
May 17, 2026
16°C or below
$7,774 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$6,507 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$9,963 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$10,868 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$15,133 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$22,532 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$28,364 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$28,287 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$23,626 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$26,194 Vol.
100%
26°C or higher
$47,748 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus centers on a daily maximum of 25°C in Seoul today, driven by official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts showing clear to partly cloudy skies under a stable high-pressure ridge with light southerly winds. These conditions support gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 15°C, consistent with mid-May climatology where historical averages reach 23–25°C. Model agreement remains high across ensemble runs, though minor shifts in insolation or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak by one degree before evening verification. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty range, with resolution hinging on the final official observation reported by the national weather service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$226,976End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus centers on a daily maximum of 25°C in Seoul today, driven by official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts showing clear to partly cloudy skies under a stable high-pressure ridge with light southerly winds. These conditions support gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 15°C, consistent with mid-May climatology where historical averages reach 23–25°C. Model agreement remains high across ensemble runs, though minor shifts in insolation or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak by one degree before evening verification. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty range, with resolution hinging on the final official observation reported by the national weather service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$226,976End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSITrader consensus centers on a daily maximum of 25°C in Seoul today, driven by official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts showing clear to partly cloudy skies under a stable high-pressure ridge with light southerly winds. These conditions support gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 15°C, consistent with mid-May climatology where historical averages reach 23–25°C. Model agreement remains high across ensemble runs, though minor shifts in insolation or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak by one degree before evening verification. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty range, with resolution hinging on the final official observation reported by the national weather service.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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