El Niño conditions developing across the Pacific, combined with a neutral-to-positive Indian Ocean Dipole phase, are driving warmer and drier conditions over Singapore during the southwest monsoon. This has produced recent daily maxima near 33–34°C at official stations, aligning with National Environment Agency outlooks projecting similar peaks through mid-August. Historical August averages hover around 31°C, with values above 34°C uncommon absent strong radiative heating or suppressed convection. Current model consensus and limited rainfall favor a narrow 32–33°C band for the daily maximum on August 17, measured under standard Meteorological Service Singapore protocols at representative sites. Updated short-range forecasts and any late shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns could refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 17?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 17?
32°C 56%
33°C 34%
31°C 6%
34°C 1.4%
NEW
$19,828 Vol.
NEW
$19,828 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
56%
33°C
34%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 56%
33°C 34%
31°C 6%
34°C 1.4%
NEW
$19,828 Vol.
NEW
$19,828 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
27°C or below
$28 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,373 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,605 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,814 Vol.
6%
32°C
$4,724 Vol.
56%
33°C
$3,790 Vol.
34%
34°C
$2,358 Vol.
1%
35°C
$1,430 Vol.
1%
36°C
$1,296 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$380 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.El Niño conditions developing across the Pacific, combined with a neutral-to-positive Indian Ocean Dipole phase, are driving warmer and drier conditions over Singapore during the southwest monsoon. This has produced recent daily maxima near 33–34°C at official stations, aligning with National Environment Agency outlooks projecting similar peaks through mid-August. Historical August averages hover around 31°C, with values above 34°C uncommon absent strong radiative heating or suppressed convection. Current model consensus and limited rainfall favor a narrow 32–33°C band for the daily maximum on August 17, measured under standard Meteorological Service Singapore protocols at representative sites. Updated short-range forecasts and any late shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns could refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Volume
$19,828End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.El Niño conditions developing across the Pacific, combined with a neutral-to-positive Indian Ocean Dipole phase, are driving warmer and drier conditions over Singapore during the southwest monsoon. This has produced recent daily maxima near 33–34°C at official stations, aligning with National Environment Agency outlooks projecting similar peaks through mid-August. Historical August averages hover around 31°C, with values above 34°C uncommon absent strong radiative heating or suppressed convection. Current model consensus and limited rainfall favor a narrow 32–33°C band for the daily maximum on August 17, measured under standard Meteorological Service Singapore protocols at representative sites. Updated short-range forecasts and any late shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns could refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,828End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...El Niño conditions developing across the Pacific, combined with a neutral-to-positive Indian Ocean Dipole phase, are driving warmer and drier conditions over Singapore during the southwest monsoon. This has produced recent daily maxima near 33–34°C at official stations, aligning with National Environment Agency outlooks projecting similar peaks through mid-August. Historical August averages hover around 31°C, with values above 34°C uncommon absent strong radiative heating or suppressed convection. Current model consensus and limited rainfall favor a narrow 32–33°C band for the daily maximum on August 17, measured under standard Meteorological Service Singapore protocols at representative sites. Updated short-range forecasts and any late shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns could refine these market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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