Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C in Singapore on May 14, driven by official observations from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Changi Airport climate station, which recorded a daytime peak of 33°C amid persistent high humidity and afternoon thundery showers typical of early May's inter-monsoon conditions. These showers, forecast by NEA for most days this fortnight, suppressed potential for higher readings beyond the climatological May average high of 32–33°C at the station. Scenarios challenging this include a late data revision from preliminary hourly logs or an anomalous microburst heat spike before midnight, though model consensus and historical patterns make such shifts improbable as the resolution window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on May 14?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 14?
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$88,964 Vol.
$88,964 Vol.
May 14, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$88,964 Vol.
$88,964 Vol.
May 14, 2026
25°C or below
$755 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,249 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,621 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,899 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,124 Vol.
No
30°C
$9,386 Vol.
No
31°C
$17,404 Vol.
No
32°C
$16,906 Vol.
No
33°C
$17,566 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$11,115 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$6,940 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C in Singapore on May 14, driven by official observations from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Changi Airport climate station, which recorded a daytime peak of 33°C amid persistent high humidity and afternoon thundery showers typical of early May's inter-monsoon conditions. These showers, forecast by NEA for most days this fortnight, suppressed potential for higher readings beyond the climatological May average high of 32–33°C at the station. Scenarios challenging this include a late data revision from preliminary hourly logs or an anomalous microburst heat spike before midnight, though model consensus and historical patterns make such shifts improbable as the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$88,964End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C in Singapore on May 14, driven by official observations from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Changi Airport climate station, which recorded a daytime peak of 33°C amid persistent high humidity and afternoon thundery showers typical of early May's inter-monsoon conditions. These showers, forecast by NEA for most days this fortnight, suppressed potential for higher readings beyond the climatological May average high of 32–33°C at the station. Scenarios challenging this include a late data revision from preliminary hourly logs or an anomalous microburst heat spike before midnight, though model consensus and historical patterns make such shifts improbable as the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$88,964End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 33°C in Singapore on May 14, driven by official observations from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Changi Airport climate station, which recorded a daytime peak of 33°C amid persistent high humidity and afternoon thundery showers typical of early May's inter-monsoon conditions. These showers, forecast by NEA for most days this fortnight, suppressed potential for higher readings beyond the climatological May average high of 32–33°C at the station. Scenarios challenging this include a late data revision from preliminary hourly logs or an anomalous microburst heat spike before midnight, though model consensus and historical patterns make such shifts improbable as the resolution window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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