The market-implied odds indicate a near-certain daily maximum of 32°C in Singapore on May 17, driven by the latest forecasts from the National Environment Agency showing afternoon temperatures reaching this level under typical equatorial conditions. May climatology features high solar radiation and relative humidity near 80 percent, with light winds that reduce evaporative cooling and support peak readings in the 31–33°C range. Current model consensus from global centers shows stable steering patterns and limited afternoon convection, keeping the high within historical mid-May norms without significant cloud cover or rainfall to suppress warming. This positioning reflects trader assessment of observational data and short-term guidance, where only a late-day thunderstorm or unexpected moisture influx could cap the peak below 32°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on May 17?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 17?
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$95,740 Vol.
$95,740 Vol.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$95,740 Vol.
$95,740 Vol.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
$2,581 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,581 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,109 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,438 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,879 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,290 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$14,002 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$12,867 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$17,801 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$19,954 Vol.
100%
33°C or higher
$13,239 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied odds indicate a near-certain daily maximum of 32°C in Singapore on May 17, driven by the latest forecasts from the National Environment Agency showing afternoon temperatures reaching this level under typical equatorial conditions. May climatology features high solar radiation and relative humidity near 80 percent, with light winds that reduce evaporative cooling and support peak readings in the 31–33°C range. Current model consensus from global centers shows stable steering patterns and limited afternoon convection, keeping the high within historical mid-May norms without significant cloud cover or rainfall to suppress warming. This positioning reflects trader assessment of observational data and short-term guidance, where only a late-day thunderstorm or unexpected moisture influx could cap the peak below 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$95,740End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied odds indicate a near-certain daily maximum of 32°C in Singapore on May 17, driven by the latest forecasts from the National Environment Agency showing afternoon temperatures reaching this level under typical equatorial conditions. May climatology features high solar radiation and relative humidity near 80 percent, with light winds that reduce evaporative cooling and support peak readings in the 31–33°C range. Current model consensus from global centers shows stable steering patterns and limited afternoon convection, keeping the high within historical mid-May norms without significant cloud cover or rainfall to suppress warming. This positioning reflects trader assessment of observational data and short-term guidance, where only a late-day thunderstorm or unexpected moisture influx could cap the peak below 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$95,740End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSThe market-implied odds indicate a near-certain daily maximum of 32°C in Singapore on May 17, driven by the latest forecasts from the National Environment Agency showing afternoon temperatures reaching this level under typical equatorial conditions. May climatology features high solar radiation and relative humidity near 80 percent, with light winds that reduce evaporative cooling and support peak readings in the 31–33°C range. Current model consensus from global centers shows stable steering patterns and limited afternoon convection, keeping the high within historical mid-May norms without significant cloud cover or rainfall to suppress warming. This positioning reflects trader assessment of observational data and short-term guidance, where only a late-day thunderstorm or unexpected moisture influx could cap the peak below 32°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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