Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 14 indicate a daily maximum near 26–28°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, aligning closely with the seasonal average high of approximately 26°C for mid-June. This consensus from official numerical weather models, combined with stable atmospheric patterns and no significant warm advection or urban heat island amplification expected, underpins the near-certain market positioning on 26°C. Historical climatology shows typical daily maxima in this range during the early rainy season transition, with limited day-to-day variability absent major synoptic shifts. A rapid intensification of southerly flow or delayed cloud cover could push readings modestly higher, though model agreement leaves little room for deviation within the trading window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 14?
26°C 99.6%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
$78,328 交易量
$78,328 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.6%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
$78,328 交易量
$78,328 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 14 indicate a daily maximum near 26–28°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, aligning closely with the seasonal average high of approximately 26°C for mid-June. This consensus from official numerical weather models, combined with stable atmospheric patterns and no significant warm advection or urban heat island amplification expected, underpins the near-certain market positioning on 26°C. Historical climatology shows typical daily maxima in this range during the early rainy season transition, with limited day-to-day variability absent major synoptic shifts. A rapid intensification of southerly flow or delayed cloud cover could push readings modestly higher, though model agreement leaves little room for deviation within the trading window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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