Recent official forecasts from MetService and aligned models indicate a daytime high near 15°C for Wellington on August 31 under strengthening northwesterlies, with possible morning showers and a cooler overnight low around 5°C. These conditions, following recent daily maxima of 14–17°C amid variable spring transition patterns, position 16°C as the market leader at 57% implied probability, as traders weigh local station microclimates, wind-driven mixing, and minor forecast spreads that could push the peak slightly higher. Upcoming model updates and real-time observations from agencies like MetService will refine resolution around the 15–17°C cluster.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on August 31?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 31?
16°C 59%
17°C 21%
15°C 19%
18°C 3.1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
19%
16°C
59%
17°C
21%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 59%
17°C 21%
15°C 19%
18°C 3.1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
11°C or below
$186 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$168 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$220 Vol.
2%
14°C
$179 Vol.
3%
15°C
$408 Vol.
19%
16°C
$1,401 Vol.
59%
17°C
$309 Vol.
21%
18°C
$42 Vol.
3%
19°C
$173 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$186 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and aligned models indicate a daytime high near 15°C for Wellington on August 31 under strengthening northwesterlies, with possible morning showers and a cooler overnight low around 5°C. These conditions, following recent daily maxima of 14–17°C amid variable spring transition patterns, position 16°C as the market leader at 57% implied probability, as traders weigh local station microclimates, wind-driven mixing, and minor forecast spreads that could push the peak slightly higher. Upcoming model updates and real-time observations from agencies like MetService will refine resolution around the 15–17°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,469End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and aligned models indicate a daytime high near 15°C for Wellington on August 31 under strengthening northwesterlies, with possible morning showers and a cooler overnight low around 5°C. These conditions, following recent daily maxima of 14–17°C amid variable spring transition patterns, position 16°C as the market leader at 57% implied probability, as traders weigh local station microclimates, wind-driven mixing, and minor forecast spreads that could push the peak slightly higher. Upcoming model updates and real-time observations from agencies like MetService will refine resolution around the 15–17°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,469End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from MetService and aligned models indicate a daytime high near 15°C for Wellington on August 31 under strengthening northwesterlies, with possible morning showers and a cooler overnight low around 5°C. These conditions, following recent daily maxima of 14–17°C amid variable spring transition patterns, position 16°C as the market leader at 57% implied probability, as traders weigh local station microclimates, wind-driven mixing, and minor forecast spreads that could push the peak slightly higher. Upcoming model updates and real-time observations from agencies like MetService will refine resolution around the 15–17°C cluster.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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