Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Wuhan’s peak temperature on August 14 will reach 30 °C, driven by stable subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around this value, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs average near 30–32 °C before seasonal decline. Real-time surface observations and short-range guidance reinforce the consensus, leaving little room for deviation. The only plausible challenges would be an unforecasted convective cell delivering rapid cooling or a sharper-than-expected wind shift enhancing mixing, both of which carry low probability given the current synoptic pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 14?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 14?
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$63,393 Vol.
$63,393 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$63,393 Vol.
$63,393 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
24°C or below
$2,270 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,662 Vol.
No
26°C
$6,138 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,971 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,624 Vol.
No
29°C
$7,271 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,619 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$7,815 Vol.
No
32°C
$8,930 Vol.
No
33°C
$6,923 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$5,169 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Wuhan’s peak temperature on August 14 will reach 30 °C, driven by stable subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around this value, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs average near 30–32 °C before seasonal decline. Real-time surface observations and short-range guidance reinforce the consensus, leaving little room for deviation. The only plausible challenges would be an unforecasted convective cell delivering rapid cooling or a sharper-than-expected wind shift enhancing mixing, both of which carry low probability given the current synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$63,393End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Wuhan’s peak temperature on August 14 will reach 30 °C, driven by stable subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around this value, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs average near 30–32 °C before seasonal decline. Real-time surface observations and short-range guidance reinforce the consensus, leaving little room for deviation. The only plausible challenges would be an unforecasted convective cell delivering rapid cooling or a sharper-than-expected wind shift enhancing mixing, both of which carry low probability given the current synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$63,393End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Wuhan’s peak temperature on August 14 will reach 30 °C, driven by stable subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around this value, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs average near 30–32 °C before seasonal decline. Real-time surface observations and short-range guidance reinforce the consensus, leaving little room for deviation. The only plausible challenges would be an unforecasted convective cell delivering rapid cooling or a sharper-than-expected wind shift enhancing mixing, both of which carry low probability given the current synoptic pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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