**Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 32°C or higher today in Zhengzhou, driven by consistent numerical weather model guidance and official forecasts projecting afternoon peaks of 33–34°C under typical late-August subtropical high pressure.** Persistent warm, humid air masses, combined with limited cloud cover and light easterly winds, support strong daytime heating, consistent with climatological averages of 31–33°C for the period. Official sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international models align on maximum temperatures well above the 32°C threshold. Realistic challenges include unexpected widespread thunderstorms or increased cloud cover that could suppress the peak by several degrees, though current guidance assigns low probability to such cooling. Market-implied odds reflect this strong scientific consensus backed by real-time observations and ensemble forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
32°C or higher 98%
31°C 1.0%
30°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
NEW
$11,401 Vol.
NEW
$11,401 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
98%
32°C or higher 98%
31°C 1.0%
30°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
NEW
$11,401 Vol.
NEW
$11,401 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$3,312 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,189 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,285 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$393 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,068 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$630 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$377 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$216 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$221 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$461 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$249 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 32°C or higher today in Zhengzhou, driven by consistent numerical weather model guidance and official forecasts projecting afternoon peaks of 33–34°C under typical late-August subtropical high pressure.**
Persistent warm, humid air masses, combined with limited cloud cover and light easterly winds, support strong daytime heating, consistent with climatological averages of 31–33°C for the period. Official sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international models align on maximum temperatures well above the 32°C threshold.
Realistic challenges include unexpected widespread thunderstorms or increased cloud cover that could suppress the peak by several degrees, though current guidance assigns low probability to such cooling. Market-implied odds reflect this strong scientific consensus backed by real-time observations and ensemble forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$11,401End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 32°C or higher today in Zhengzhou, driven by consistent numerical weather model guidance and official forecasts projecting afternoon peaks of 33–34°C under typical late-August subtropical high pressure.**
Persistent warm, humid air masses, combined with limited cloud cover and light easterly winds, support strong daytime heating, consistent with climatological averages of 31–33°C for the period. Official sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international models align on maximum temperatures well above the 32°C threshold.
Realistic challenges include unexpected widespread thunderstorms or increased cloud cover that could suppress the peak by several degrees, though current guidance assigns low probability to such cooling. Market-implied odds reflect this strong scientific consensus backed by real-time observations and ensemble forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,401End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 32°C or higher today in Zhengzhou, driven by consistent numerical weather model guidance and official forecasts projecting afternoon peaks of 33–34°C under typical late-August subtropical high pressure.** Persistent warm, humid air masses, combined with limited cloud cover and light easterly winds, support strong daytime heating, consistent with climatological averages of 31–33°C for the period. Official sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international models align on maximum temperatures well above the 32°C threshold. Realistic challenges include unexpected widespread thunderstorms or increased cloud cover that could suppress the peak by several degrees, though current guidance assigns low probability to such cooling. Market-implied odds reflect this strong scientific consensus backed by real-time observations and ensemble forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions