Persistent summer heat across central China, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system and elevated dew points near 25–27°C, underpins trader consensus that Zhengzhou’s daily minimum on August 25 will reach or exceed 25°C. Official forecasts and recent model guidance consistently project overnight lows of 26–28°C amid mostly cloudy skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical minima around 24–25°C, with current conditions running several degrees warmer due to the absence of frontal passages or significant precipitation. While numerical weather prediction ensembles carry some uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing or unexpected convective cooling, the overwhelming probability assigned to 25°C or higher reflects the strong observational and model agreement favoring continued warmth through the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 25?
25°C or higher 99%
24°C 6%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
6%
25°C or higher
99%
25°C or higher 99%
24°C 6%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
$178 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$377 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$97 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$168 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$265 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$163 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$77 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$298 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$160 Vol.
6%
25°C or higher
$339 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat across central China, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system and elevated dew points near 25–27°C, underpins trader consensus that Zhengzhou’s daily minimum on August 25 will reach or exceed 25°C. Official forecasts and recent model guidance consistently project overnight lows of 26–28°C amid mostly cloudy skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical minima around 24–25°C, with current conditions running several degrees warmer due to the absence of frontal passages or significant precipitation. While numerical weather prediction ensembles carry some uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing or unexpected convective cooling, the overwhelming probability assigned to 25°C or higher reflects the strong observational and model agreement favoring continued warmth through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$2,307End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat across central China, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system and elevated dew points near 25–27°C, underpins trader consensus that Zhengzhou’s daily minimum on August 25 will reach or exceed 25°C. Official forecasts and recent model guidance consistently project overnight lows of 26–28°C amid mostly cloudy skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical minima around 24–25°C, with current conditions running several degrees warmer due to the absence of frontal passages or significant precipitation. While numerical weather prediction ensembles carry some uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing or unexpected convective cooling, the overwhelming probability assigned to 25°C or higher reflects the strong observational and model agreement favoring continued warmth through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,307End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent summer heat across central China, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system and elevated dew points near 25–27°C, underpins trader consensus that Zhengzhou’s daily minimum on August 25 will reach or exceed 25°C. Official forecasts and recent model guidance consistently project overnight lows of 26–28°C amid mostly cloudy skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical minima around 24–25°C, with current conditions running several degrees warmer due to the absence of frontal passages or significant precipitation. While numerical weather prediction ensembles carry some uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing or unexpected convective cooling, the overwhelming probability assigned to 25°C or higher reflects the strong observational and model agreement favoring continued warmth through the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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