Traders overwhelmingly favor a highest temperature of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 29 due to real-time observational data and model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration showing daytime highs reaching or exceeding this threshold under partly cloudy, stable conditions with light northerly winds and dew points supporting efficient surface heating. August climatology in the region typically features averages near 30°C, and current readings approaching 31°C midday align with this trajectory without signs of rapid cooling from precipitation or frontal systems. Uncertainties remain modest given the late-day timing, though an unforecasted convective outbreak could modestly suppress the peak. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these atmospheric dynamics backed by capital at risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 29?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 29?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$985 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$235 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$765 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$340 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$276 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$776 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$738 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$599 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,193 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders overwhelmingly favor a highest temperature of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 29 due to real-time observational data and model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration showing daytime highs reaching or exceeding this threshold under partly cloudy, stable conditions with light northerly winds and dew points supporting efficient surface heating. August climatology in the region typically features averages near 30°C, and current readings approaching 31°C midday align with this trajectory without signs of rapid cooling from precipitation or frontal systems. Uncertainties remain modest given the late-day timing, though an unforecasted convective outbreak could modestly suppress the peak. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these atmospheric dynamics backed by capital at risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$6,237End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders overwhelmingly favor a highest temperature of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 29 due to real-time observational data and model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration showing daytime highs reaching or exceeding this threshold under partly cloudy, stable conditions with light northerly winds and dew points supporting efficient surface heating. August climatology in the region typically features averages near 30°C, and current readings approaching 31°C midday align with this trajectory without signs of rapid cooling from precipitation or frontal systems. Uncertainties remain modest given the late-day timing, though an unforecasted convective outbreak could modestly suppress the peak. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these atmospheric dynamics backed by capital at risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,237End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders overwhelmingly favor a highest temperature of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 29 due to real-time observational data and model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration showing daytime highs reaching or exceeding this threshold under partly cloudy, stable conditions with light northerly winds and dew points supporting efficient surface heating. August climatology in the region typically features averages near 30°C, and current readings approaching 31°C midday align with this trajectory without signs of rapid cooling from precipitation or frontal systems. Uncertainties remain modest given the late-day timing, though an unforecasted convective outbreak could modestly suppress the peak. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated trader assessment of these atmospheric dynamics backed by capital at risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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