The Trump administration’s Gold Card program, launched by executive order in September 2025 to offer expedited residency pathways for $1 million gifts to the Department of Commerce, has seen minimal uptake through mid-2026. Recent government updates indicate only a few hundred applications submitted and far fewer payments processed, with Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick noting ongoing vetting queues amid reported delays and legal questions over processing timelines. These factors have shaped trader consensus around the 1-100 outcome, as current momentum points to continued slow rollout rather than rapid scaling. Scheduled congressional reviews and any adjustments to eligibility or fees could influence future volumes, though no major acceleration has materialized in the past month.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
1-100 68.3%
101-1k 18.2%
>100k 5.8%
2.5k-5k 4.1%
$235,121 Vol.
$235,121 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
1-100
68%
101-1k
14%
1k-2.5k
3%
2.5k-5k
4%
5k-10k
3%
10k-25k
2%
25k-100k
2%
>100k
6%
1-100 68.3%
101-1k 18.2%
>100k 5.8%
2.5k-5k 4.1%
$235,121 Vol.
$235,121 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
1-100
$15,602 Vol.
68%
101-1k
$8,065 Vol.
14%
1k-2.5k
$9,321 Vol.
3%
2.5k-5k
$7,931 Vol.
4%
5k-10k
$9,193 Vol.
3%
10k-25k
$110,794 Vol.
2%
25k-100k
$7,129 Vol.
2%
>100k
$22,719 Vol.
6%
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration’s Gold Card program, launched by executive order in September 2025 to offer expedited residency pathways for $1 million gifts to the Department of Commerce, has seen minimal uptake through mid-2026. Recent government updates indicate only a few hundred applications submitted and far fewer payments processed, with Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick noting ongoing vetting queues amid reported delays and legal questions over processing timelines. These factors have shaped trader consensus around the 1-100 outcome, as current momentum points to continued slow rollout rather than rapid scaling. Scheduled congressional reviews and any adjustments to eligibility or fees could influence future volumes, though no major acceleration has materialized in the past month.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Volume
$235,121End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration’s Gold Card program, launched by executive order in September 2025 to offer expedited residency pathways for $1 million gifts to the Department of Commerce, has seen minimal uptake through mid-2026. Recent government updates indicate only a few hundred applications submitted and far fewer payments processed, with Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick noting ongoing vetting queues amid reported delays and legal questions over processing timelines. These factors have shaped trader consensus around the 1-100 outcome, as current momentum points to continued slow rollout rather than rapid scaling. Scheduled congressional reviews and any adjustments to eligibility or fees could influence future volumes, though no major acceleration has materialized in the past month.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$235,121End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Trump administration’s Gold Card program, launched by executive order in September 2025 to offer expedited residency pathways for $1 million gifts to the Department of Commerce, has seen minimal uptake through mid-2026. Recent government updates indicate only a few hundred applications submitted and far fewer payments processed, with Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick noting ongoing vetting queues amid reported delays and legal questions over processing timelines. These factors have shaped trader consensus around the 1-100 outcome, as current momentum points to continued slow rollout rather than rapid scaling. Scheduled congressional reviews and any adjustments to eligibility or fees could influence future volumes, though no major acceleration has materialized in the past month.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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