Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
Politics·Russia Election

United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

icon for United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
Politics·Russia Election

United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

Polymarket

$2,449,220 Vol.

Polymarket

$2,449,220 Vol.

340–354

$365,227 Vol.

98%

355+

$353,345 Vol.

3%

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia’s commanding position in the 340–354 seat range reflects its structural advantages as Russia’s dominant ruling party, including strong performance in both the proportional party-list vote and the 225 single-member districts during the September 18–20 State Duma election. Official preliminary counts showed the party exceeding 57% in the party-list share and leading in over 200 constituencies, producing a constitutional majority well above the 301-seat threshold amid record turnout near 59%. This outcome aligns with the party’s incumbency benefits, limited opposition viability, and the wartime context that has consolidated support around established authorities. Trader consensus on the narrower band rather than 355+ accounts for possible adjustments during final tabulation, appeals, or mandate reallocations among qualifying parties. Shifts in the reported totals or procedural reviews remain the primary variables that could alter the final seat allocation before resolution.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$2,449,220
End Date
Sep 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia’s commanding position in the 340–354 seat range reflects its structural advantages as Russia’s dominant ruling party, including strong performance in both the proportional party-list vote and the 225 single-member districts during the September 18–20 State Duma election. Official preliminary counts showed the party exceeding 57% in the party-list share and leading in over 200 constituencies, producing a constitutional majority well above the 301-seat threshold amid record turnout near 59%. This outcome aligns with the party’s incumbency benefits, limited opposition viability, and the wartime context that has consolidated support around established authorities. Trader consensus on the narrower band rather than 355+ accounts for possible adjustments during final tabulation, appeals, or mandate reallocations among qualifying parties. Shifts in the reported totals or procedural reviews remain the primary variables that could alter the final seat allocation before resolution.

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.

If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$2,449,220
End Date
Sep 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Related

icon for Will the Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

Will the Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

1%
icon for Will United Russia (ER) win 55-60% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?

Will United Russia (ER) win 55-60% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?

99%
icon for Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?

Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?

99%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "340–354" at 98%, followed by "355+" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?" has generated $2.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?" is "340–354" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "355+" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.