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Politics·Primaries

Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Adam Hamilton 87%

Sandy Spidel Neumann 4.7%

Patrick Schmidt 3.6%

Sharice Davids 1.3%

Polymarket

$129,683 Vol.

Adam Hamilton 87%

Sandy Spidel Neumann 4.7%

Patrick Schmidt 3.6%

Sharice Davids 1.3%

Polymarket

$129,683 Vol.

Adam Hamilton

$5,788 Vol.

87%

Sandy Spidel Neumann

$33,882 Vol.

5%

Patrick Schmidt

$19,197 Vol.

4%

Sharice Davids

$5,403 Vol.

1%

Christy Davis

$36,161 Vol.

1%

Kevin Latz

$1,384 Vol.

1%

Jason Hart

$1,640 Vol.

<1%

Damon Anderson

$1,004 Vol.

<1%

Michael Soetaert

$3,691 Vol.

<1%

Erik Murray

$1,483 Vol.

<1%

Anne Parelkar

$18,846 Vol.

<1%

Noah Taylor

$1,204 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Adam Hamilton’s late April 2026 entry into the Kansas Democratic Senate primary has consolidated trader consensus around his nomination. As founding pastor of the state’s largest United Methodist congregation, Hamilton quickly raised more than one million dollars in the first week, drawing broad geographic support and national media attention ahead of the August 4 primary. This fundraising and visibility have overshadowed a crowded field that includes lower-profile candidates such as Sandy Spidel Neumann, Patrick Schmidt, and Sharice Davids. The implied probability reflected in current market pricing aligns with Hamilton’s structural advantages in name recognition and resources, while the remaining contenders face limited donor networks and minimal recent polling traction in a state where Democrats last won a Senate seat in 1932.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas.

If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$129,683
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Adam Hamilton’s late April 2026 entry into the Kansas Democratic Senate primary has consolidated trader consensus around his nomination. As founding pastor of the state’s largest United Methodist congregation, Hamilton quickly raised more than one million dollars in the first week, drawing broad geographic support and national media attention ahead of the August 4 primary. This fundraising and visibility have overshadowed a crowded field that includes lower-profile candidates such as Sandy Spidel Neumann, Patrick Schmidt, and Sharice Davids. The implied probability reflected in current market pricing aligns with Hamilton’s structural advantages in name recognition and resources, while the remaining contenders face limited donor networks and minimal recent polling traction in a state where Democrats last won a Senate seat in 1932.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas.

If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$129,683
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Adam Hamilton" at 87%, followed by "Sandy Spidel Neumann" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $129.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Adam Hamilton" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sandy Spidel Neumann" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.