Recent forecasts from global models and Chinese meteorological sources indicate Guangzhou's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely fall between 26–28°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and monsoon moisture, supporting the closely bunched market-implied odds around 24–27°C. Nighttime radiative cooling remains limited by high humidity and overcast conditions, while variable steering flows introduce model spread between runs such as GFS and ECMWF. Historical August lows average near 25°C, but current patterns favor slightly elevated minima unless clearer breaks develop overnight. Upcoming official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined ensemble guidance ahead of resolution will likely drive any shifts in trader consensus on the exact threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 26?
21°C or below 55%
26°C 50%
23°C 48%
24°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
55%
22°C
35%
23°C
48%
24°C
48%
25°C
48%
26°C
50%
27°C
26%
28°C
25%
29°C
48%
30°C
48%
31°C or higher
1%
21°C or below 55%
26°C 50%
23°C 48%
24°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
55%
22°C
$0 Vol.
35%
23°C
$0 Vol.
48%
24°C
$0 Vol.
48%
25°C
$0 Vol.
48%
26°C
$0 Vol.
50%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$0 Vol.
48%
30°C
$0 Vol.
48%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models and Chinese meteorological sources indicate Guangzhou's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely fall between 26–28°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and monsoon moisture, supporting the closely bunched market-implied odds around 24–27°C. Nighttime radiative cooling remains limited by high humidity and overcast conditions, while variable steering flows introduce model spread between runs such as GFS and ECMWF. Historical August lows average near 25°C, but current patterns favor slightly elevated minima unless clearer breaks develop overnight. Upcoming official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined ensemble guidance ahead of resolution will likely drive any shifts in trader consensus on the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models and Chinese meteorological sources indicate Guangzhou's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely fall between 26–28°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and monsoon moisture, supporting the closely bunched market-implied odds around 24–27°C. Nighttime radiative cooling remains limited by high humidity and overcast conditions, while variable steering flows introduce model spread between runs such as GFS and ECMWF. Historical August lows average near 25°C, but current patterns favor slightly elevated minima unless clearer breaks develop overnight. Upcoming official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined ensemble guidance ahead of resolution will likely drive any shifts in trader consensus on the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models and Chinese meteorological sources indicate Guangzhou's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely fall between 26–28°C amid persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and monsoon moisture, supporting the closely bunched market-implied odds around 24–27°C. Nighttime radiative cooling remains limited by high humidity and overcast conditions, while variable steering flows introduce model spread between runs such as GFS and ECMWF. Historical August lows average near 25°C, but current patterns favor slightly elevated minima unless clearer breaks develop overnight. Upcoming official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined ensemble guidance ahead of resolution will likely drive any shifts in trader consensus on the exact threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions