**Persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity are keeping overnight temperatures elevated in Jinan on August 27, 2026, supporting market-implied odds of 76% for a daily low of 22°C or higher.** Official forecasts from local meteorological sources and international models (including WeatherBug and Yr) indicate an overnight low around 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F), driven by scattered thunderstorms, mostly cloudy skies, and northeasterly winds that limit radiational cooling. Dew points near 24°C further suppress temperature drops by maintaining atmospheric moisture. This aligns with late-August climatology, where typical lows hover near 21–23°C under clearer conditions, but the current pattern of precipitation and cloudiness—following recent heat—prevents a sharper decline. Later model runs or clearing skies could allow modest cooling, yet current consensus keeps the probability of sub-22°C outcomes very low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jinan on August 27?
22°C or higher 99.5%
21°C 19%
20°C 1.0%
12°C or below <1%
$3,114 Vol.
$3,114 Vol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
Yes
22°C or higher 99.5%
21°C 19%
20°C 1.0%
12°C or below <1%
$3,114 Vol.
$3,114 Vol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity are keeping overnight temperatures elevated in Jinan on August 27, 2026, supporting market-implied odds of 76% for a daily low of 22°C or higher.** Official forecasts from local meteorological sources and international models (including WeatherBug and Yr) indicate an overnight low around 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F), driven by scattered thunderstorms, mostly cloudy skies, and northeasterly winds that limit radiational cooling. Dew points near 24°C further suppress temperature drops by maintaining atmospheric moisture. This aligns with late-August climatology, where typical lows hover near 21–23°C under clearer conditions, but the current pattern of precipitation and cloudiness—following recent heat—prevents a sharper decline. Later model runs or clearing skies could allow modest cooling, yet current consensus keeps the probability of sub-22°C outcomes very low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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