Recent model runs reveal tight uncertainty around Jinan’s minimum temperature on August 30, with ensembles split on whether nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies will push readings to 20 °C or whether residual warm advection and increased cloud cover will hold values at 22 °C or higher. The China Meteorological Administration’s latest guidance and global models such as ECMWF and GFS show only modest differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that separate these thresholds. Historical late-August climatology for Jinan places typical lows near 21–23 °C, so any deviation hinges on the exact passage of a weak frontal boundary or high-pressure ridge. Updated short-range forecasts and surface observations expected overnight will likely refine the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jinan on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on August 30?
12°C or below 93%
16°C 89%
18°C 50%
14°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
93%
13°C
44%
14°C
49%
15°C
49%
16°C
89%
17°C
25%
18°C
50%
19°C
26%
20°C
49%
21°C
27%
22°C or higher
49%
12°C or below 93%
16°C 89%
18°C 50%
14°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
93%
13°C
$0 Vol.
44%
14°C
$0 Vol.
49%
15°C
$0 Vol.
49%
16°C
$0 Vol.
89%
17°C
$0 Vol.
25%
18°C
$0 Vol.
50%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
49%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs reveal tight uncertainty around Jinan’s minimum temperature on August 30, with ensembles split on whether nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies will push readings to 20 °C or whether residual warm advection and increased cloud cover will hold values at 22 °C or higher. The China Meteorological Administration’s latest guidance and global models such as ECMWF and GFS show only modest differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that separate these thresholds. Historical late-August climatology for Jinan places typical lows near 21–23 °C, so any deviation hinges on the exact passage of a weak frontal boundary or high-pressure ridge. Updated short-range forecasts and surface observations expected overnight will likely refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs reveal tight uncertainty around Jinan’s minimum temperature on August 30, with ensembles split on whether nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies will push readings to 20 °C or whether residual warm advection and increased cloud cover will hold values at 22 °C or higher. The China Meteorological Administration’s latest guidance and global models such as ECMWF and GFS show only modest differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that separate these thresholds. Historical late-August climatology for Jinan places typical lows near 21–23 °C, so any deviation hinges on the exact passage of a weak frontal boundary or high-pressure ridge. Updated short-range forecasts and surface observations expected overnight will likely refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs reveal tight uncertainty around Jinan’s minimum temperature on August 30, with ensembles split on whether nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies will push readings to 20 °C or whether residual warm advection and increased cloud cover will hold values at 22 °C or higher. The China Meteorological Administration’s latest guidance and global models such as ECMWF and GFS show only modest differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that separate these thresholds. Historical late-August climatology for Jinan places typical lows near 21–23 °C, so any deviation hinges on the exact passage of a weak frontal boundary or high-pressure ridge. Updated short-range forecasts and surface observations expected overnight will likely refine the range before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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