Recent forecast model consensus for Jinan indicates moderate nocturnal cooling overnight on September 16, with the minimum temperature hinging on variables like clear-sky radiative cooling rates, low-level wind speeds that limit boundary-layer mixing, and dew point depressions influencing condensation. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 13–15 °C because these factors produce narrow differences in expected lows near the typical mid-September baseline of roughly 17–20 °C, while the 45 % probability on 12 °C or below captures downside risk from stronger northerly flow or reduced cloud cover accelerating heat loss. Official agency guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration shows limited model spread at this lead time, leaving resolution sensitive to the precise timing of any frontal passage or local urban heat-island effects that can raise readings by 1–2 °C relative to rural stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jinan on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on September 16?
15°C 99%
14°C 51%
12°C or below 50%
13°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
12°C or below
50%
13°C
50%
14°C
51%
15°C
99%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
15°C 99%
14°C 51%
12°C or below 50%
13°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
50%
13°C
$0 Vol.
50%
14°C
$0 Vol.
51%
15°C
$250 Vol.
99%
16°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$258 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus for Jinan indicates moderate nocturnal cooling overnight on September 16, with the minimum temperature hinging on variables like clear-sky radiative cooling rates, low-level wind speeds that limit boundary-layer mixing, and dew point depressions influencing condensation. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 13–15 °C because these factors produce narrow differences in expected lows near the typical mid-September baseline of roughly 17–20 °C, while the 45 % probability on 12 °C or below captures downside risk from stronger northerly flow or reduced cloud cover accelerating heat loss. Official agency guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration shows limited model spread at this lead time, leaving resolution sensitive to the precise timing of any frontal passage or local urban heat-island effects that can raise readings by 1–2 °C relative to rural stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$965End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus for Jinan indicates moderate nocturnal cooling overnight on September 16, with the minimum temperature hinging on variables like clear-sky radiative cooling rates, low-level wind speeds that limit boundary-layer mixing, and dew point depressions influencing condensation. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 13–15 °C because these factors produce narrow differences in expected lows near the typical mid-September baseline of roughly 17–20 °C, while the 45 % probability on 12 °C or below captures downside risk from stronger northerly flow or reduced cloud cover accelerating heat loss. Official agency guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration shows limited model spread at this lead time, leaving resolution sensitive to the precise timing of any frontal passage or local urban heat-island effects that can raise readings by 1–2 °C relative to rural stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$965End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus for Jinan indicates moderate nocturnal cooling overnight on September 16, with the minimum temperature hinging on variables like clear-sky radiative cooling rates, low-level wind speeds that limit boundary-layer mixing, and dew point depressions influencing condensation. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 13–15 °C because these factors produce narrow differences in expected lows near the typical mid-September baseline of roughly 17–20 °C, while the 45 % probability on 12 °C or below captures downside risk from stronger northerly flow or reduced cloud cover accelerating heat loss. Official agency guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration shows limited model spread at this lead time, leaving resolution sensitive to the precise timing of any frontal passage or local urban heat-island effects that can raise readings by 1–2 °C relative to rural stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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