Recent short-term forecast model runs from agencies like the German Weather Service and global ensembles show notable spread in overnight minimum temperatures for Munich on September 16, with guidance clustering between roughly 9–14°C amid an approaching frontal system. Thunderstorms and showers expected during the day, combined with shifting westerly to southwesterly winds, introduce uncertainty in radiational cooling and boundary-layer mixing overnight. Some solutions favor clearer intervals allowing temps to dip toward single digits, while others maintain cloud cover and moisture that could hold lows near 13–14°C. This genuine meteorological variability underpins the near-even market-implied odds between cooler and warmer thresholds, with resolution hinging on the final observed daily minimum from official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 16?
18°C or higher 85%
8°C or below 83%
16°C 39%
17°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
8°C or below
83%
9°C
19%
10°C
21%
11°C
38%
12°C
25%
13°C
22%
14°C
21%
15°C
37%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C or higher
85%
18°C or higher 85%
8°C or below 83%
16°C 39%
17°C 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Vol.
83%
9°C
$0 Vol.
19%
10°C
$0 Vol.
21%
11°C
$0 Vol.
38%
12°C
$0 Vol.
25%
13°C
$0 Vol.
22%
14°C
$0 Vol.
21%
15°C
$0 Vol.
37%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
39%
18°C or higher
$0 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecast model runs from agencies like the German Weather Service and global ensembles show notable spread in overnight minimum temperatures for Munich on September 16, with guidance clustering between roughly 9–14°C amid an approaching frontal system. Thunderstorms and showers expected during the day, combined with shifting westerly to southwesterly winds, introduce uncertainty in radiational cooling and boundary-layer mixing overnight. Some solutions favor clearer intervals allowing temps to dip toward single digits, while others maintain cloud cover and moisture that could hold lows near 13–14°C. This genuine meteorological variability underpins the near-even market-implied odds between cooler and warmer thresholds, with resolution hinging on the final observed daily minimum from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecast model runs from agencies like the German Weather Service and global ensembles show notable spread in overnight minimum temperatures for Munich on September 16, with guidance clustering between roughly 9–14°C amid an approaching frontal system. Thunderstorms and showers expected during the day, combined with shifting westerly to southwesterly winds, introduce uncertainty in radiational cooling and boundary-layer mixing overnight. Some solutions favor clearer intervals allowing temps to dip toward single digits, while others maintain cloud cover and moisture that could hold lows near 13–14°C. This genuine meteorological variability underpins the near-even market-implied odds between cooler and warmer thresholds, with resolution hinging on the final observed daily minimum from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecast model runs from agencies like the German Weather Service and global ensembles show notable spread in overnight minimum temperatures for Munich on September 16, with guidance clustering between roughly 9–14°C amid an approaching frontal system. Thunderstorms and showers expected during the day, combined with shifting westerly to southwesterly winds, introduce uncertainty in radiational cooling and boundary-layer mixing overnight. Some solutions favor clearer intervals allowing temps to dip toward single digits, while others maintain cloud cover and moisture that could hold lows near 13–14°C. This genuine meteorological variability underpins the near-even market-implied odds between cooler and warmer thresholds, with resolution hinging on the final observed daily minimum from official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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