Recent National Weather Service forecasts and observations from stations near New York City, including Newark Liberty International Airport reporting 69°F early on August 28, indicate overnight lows in the upper 60s under partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds and dew points near 68°F. These conditions, following several days of above-average rainfall and humidity, support a daily minimum most likely between 66°F and 71°F, consistent with late-August climatology where the average low hovers near 68°F. Model consensus shows minimal overnight cooling potential due to lingering moisture and weak pressure gradients, limiting downside risk below 68°F while making values above 72°F improbable absent unexpected warm-air advection. Trader positioning on 72–73°F as the leading outcome reflects emphasis on recent mild trends and forecast uncertainty ranges ahead of final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on August 28?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 28?
72-73°F 84%
70-71°F 17%
68-69°F 6%
66-67°F 3%
$5,759 Vol.
$5,759 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
84%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 84%
70-71°F 17%
68-69°F 6%
66-67°F 3%
$5,759 Vol.
$5,759 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
59°F or below
$176 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$238 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$156 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$327 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$455 Vol.
3%
68-69°F
$710 Vol.
6%
70-71°F
$977 Vol.
17%
72-73°F
$920 Vol.
84%
74-75°F
$899 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$423 Vol.
<1%
78°F or higher
$476 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and observations from stations near New York City, including Newark Liberty International Airport reporting 69°F early on August 28, indicate overnight lows in the upper 60s under partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds and dew points near 68°F. These conditions, following several days of above-average rainfall and humidity, support a daily minimum most likely between 66°F and 71°F, consistent with late-August climatology where the average low hovers near 68°F. Model consensus shows minimal overnight cooling potential due to lingering moisture and weak pressure gradients, limiting downside risk below 68°F while making values above 72°F improbable absent unexpected warm-air advection. Trader positioning on 72–73°F as the leading outcome reflects emphasis on recent mild trends and forecast uncertainty ranges ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$5,759End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and observations from stations near New York City, including Newark Liberty International Airport reporting 69°F early on August 28, indicate overnight lows in the upper 60s under partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds and dew points near 68°F. These conditions, following several days of above-average rainfall and humidity, support a daily minimum most likely between 66°F and 71°F, consistent with late-August climatology where the average low hovers near 68°F. Model consensus shows minimal overnight cooling potential due to lingering moisture and weak pressure gradients, limiting downside risk below 68°F while making values above 72°F improbable absent unexpected warm-air advection. Trader positioning on 72–73°F as the leading outcome reflects emphasis on recent mild trends and forecast uncertainty ranges ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,759End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and observations from stations near New York City, including Newark Liberty International Airport reporting 69°F early on August 28, indicate overnight lows in the upper 60s under partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds and dew points near 68°F. These conditions, following several days of above-average rainfall and humidity, support a daily minimum most likely between 66°F and 71°F, consistent with late-August climatology where the average low hovers near 68°F. Model consensus shows minimal overnight cooling potential due to lingering moisture and weak pressure gradients, limiting downside risk below 68°F while making values above 72°F improbable absent unexpected warm-air advection. Trader positioning on 72–73°F as the leading outcome reflects emphasis on recent mild trends and forecast uncertainty ranges ahead of final verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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