Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project an overnight low near 24°C for Incheon/Seoul on August 26 under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds and only 20% precipitation chance, limiting clear-sky radiative cooling that typically drives sharper drops. This aligns with late-August climatology showing average minima of 22–25°C amid lingering summer humidity, yet recent model runs and short-term trends suggest modest warming influences from daytime highs near 32°C could nudge the actual minimum upward. With 25°C and 26°C outcomes dominating at 37.5% and 41% implied probability, traders are pricing the narrow scientific uncertainty around exact boundary-layer mixing and cloud persistence, with resolution hinging on the official daily minimum recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 26?
26°C 42%
25°C 38%
27°C 18%
24°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
9%
24°C
12%
25°C
38%
26°C
42%
27°C
18%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
26°C 42%
25°C 38%
27°C 18%
24°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
22°C
$5 Vol.
5%
23°C
$20 Vol.
9%
24°C
$0 Vol.
12%
25°C
$0 Vol.
38%
26°C
$0 Vol.
42%
27°C
$0 Vol.
18%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project an overnight low near 24°C for Incheon/Seoul on August 26 under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds and only 20% precipitation chance, limiting clear-sky radiative cooling that typically drives sharper drops. This aligns with late-August climatology showing average minima of 22–25°C amid lingering summer humidity, yet recent model runs and short-term trends suggest modest warming influences from daytime highs near 32°C could nudge the actual minimum upward. With 25°C and 26°C outcomes dominating at 37.5% and 41% implied probability, traders are pricing the narrow scientific uncertainty around exact boundary-layer mixing and cloud persistence, with resolution hinging on the official daily minimum recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$30End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project an overnight low near 24°C for Incheon/Seoul on August 26 under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds and only 20% precipitation chance, limiting clear-sky radiative cooling that typically drives sharper drops. This aligns with late-August climatology showing average minima of 22–25°C amid lingering summer humidity, yet recent model runs and short-term trends suggest modest warming influences from daytime highs near 32°C could nudge the actual minimum upward. With 25°C and 26°C outcomes dominating at 37.5% and 41% implied probability, traders are pricing the narrow scientific uncertainty around exact boundary-layer mixing and cloud persistence, with resolution hinging on the official daily minimum recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project an overnight low near 24°C for Incheon/Seoul on August 26 under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds and only 20% precipitation chance, limiting clear-sky radiative cooling that typically drives sharper drops. This aligns with late-August climatology showing average minima of 22–25°C amid lingering summer humidity, yet recent model runs and short-term trends suggest modest warming influences from daytime highs near 32°C could nudge the actual minimum upward. With 25°C and 26°C outcomes dominating at 37.5% and 41% implied probability, traders are pricing the narrow scientific uncertainty around exact boundary-layer mixing and cloud persistence, with resolution hinging on the official daily minimum recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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