**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 6, 2026, centers on the tight contest between 27°C (44.5%) and 28°C (39.0%), reflecting model consensus around a typical midsummer overnight low amid clear or partly cloudy conditions.** Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models highlights minimal cloud cover and light easterly winds overnight, which limit radiative cooling while the urban heat island effect and residual daytime heat keep readings from dropping further. Incheon’s coastal location adds moderating sea-breeze influence, narrowing the range between 26°C and 29°C outcomes. The narrow spread between the two leading probabilities stems from small differences in ensemble members regarding exact timing of any high-pressure ridge adjustments and localized humidity levels that affect the dew point and minimum temperature calculation. With resolution hinging on the official morning low (typically the lowest reading between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time), traders are weighting recent short-range model runs and the absence of significant frontal passages as the dominant drivers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 6?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 6?
27°C 45%
28°C 40%
29°C 6%
26°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
45%
28°C
40%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 45%
28°C 40%
29°C 6%
26°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
23°C or below
$35 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$440 Vol.
2%
26°C
$277 Vol.
5%
27°C
$320 Vol.
45%
28°C
$393 Vol.
40%
29°C
$359 Vol.
6%
30°C
$181 Vol.
1%
31°C
$70 Vol.
1%
32°C
$49 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$29 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 6, 2026, centers on the tight contest between 27°C (44.5%) and 28°C (39.0%), reflecting model consensus around a typical midsummer overnight low amid clear or partly cloudy conditions.**
Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models highlights minimal cloud cover and light easterly winds overnight, which limit radiative cooling while the urban heat island effect and residual daytime heat keep readings from dropping further. Incheon’s coastal location adds moderating sea-breeze influence, narrowing the range between 26°C and 29°C outcomes. The narrow spread between the two leading probabilities stems from small differences in ensemble members regarding exact timing of any high-pressure ridge adjustments and localized humidity levels that affect the dew point and minimum temperature calculation. With resolution hinging on the official morning low (typically the lowest reading between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time), traders are weighting recent short-range model runs and the absence of significant frontal passages as the dominant drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,175End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 6, 2026, centers on the tight contest between 27°C (44.5%) and 28°C (39.0%), reflecting model consensus around a typical midsummer overnight low amid clear or partly cloudy conditions.**
Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models highlights minimal cloud cover and light easterly winds overnight, which limit radiative cooling while the urban heat island effect and residual daytime heat keep readings from dropping further. Incheon’s coastal location adds moderating sea-breeze influence, narrowing the range between 26°C and 29°C outcomes. The narrow spread between the two leading probabilities stems from small differences in ensemble members regarding exact timing of any high-pressure ridge adjustments and localized humidity levels that affect the dew point and minimum temperature calculation. With resolution hinging on the official morning low (typically the lowest reading between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time), traders are weighting recent short-range model runs and the absence of significant frontal passages as the dominant drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,175End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 6, 2026, centers on the tight contest between 27°C (44.5%) and 28°C (39.0%), reflecting model consensus around a typical midsummer overnight low amid clear or partly cloudy conditions.** Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models highlights minimal cloud cover and light easterly winds overnight, which limit radiative cooling while the urban heat island effect and residual daytime heat keep readings from dropping further. Incheon’s coastal location adds moderating sea-breeze influence, narrowing the range between 26°C and 29°C outcomes. The narrow spread between the two leading probabilities stems from small differences in ensemble members regarding exact timing of any high-pressure ridge adjustments and localized humidity levels that affect the dew point and minimum temperature calculation. With resolution hinging on the official morning low (typically the lowest reading between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time), traders are weighting recent short-range model runs and the absence of significant frontal passages as the dominant drivers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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