Current forecast models from MetService, Met Office, and others indicate Wellington's minimum temperature on August 30 will most likely reach around 10°C overnight into early morning, driven by strong northwesterly winds promoting mixing that limits radiational cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with typical late-winter baselines near 7–10°C, though recent high-pressure influence and mild advection have kept overnight readings milder than seasonal averages. Model consensus shows little chance of drops to 7°C or below without unexpected calm or colder air intrusion, while 12°C+ remains unlikely given the wind pattern. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine exact thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wellington on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 30?
7°C 79%
8°C 78%
9°C 8%
6°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
1%
7°C
79%
8°C
78%
9°C
8%
10°C
-
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
7°C 79%
8°C 78%
9°C 8%
6°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
7°C
$0 Vol.
79%
8°C
$10 Vol.
78%
9°C
$106 Vol.
8%
10°C
$445 Vol.
-
11°C
$235 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$15 Vol.
1%
13°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$351 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from MetService, Met Office, and others indicate Wellington's minimum temperature on August 30 will most likely reach around 10°C overnight into early morning, driven by strong northwesterly winds promoting mixing that limits radiational cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with typical late-winter baselines near 7–10°C, though recent high-pressure influence and mild advection have kept overnight readings milder than seasonal averages. Model consensus shows little chance of drops to 7°C or below without unexpected calm or colder air intrusion, while 12°C+ remains unlikely given the wind pattern. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine exact thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,387End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from MetService, Met Office, and others indicate Wellington's minimum temperature on August 30 will most likely reach around 10°C overnight into early morning, driven by strong northwesterly winds promoting mixing that limits radiational cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with typical late-winter baselines near 7–10°C, though recent high-pressure influence and mild advection have kept overnight readings milder than seasonal averages. Model consensus shows little chance of drops to 7°C or below without unexpected calm or colder air intrusion, while 12°C+ remains unlikely given the wind pattern. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine exact thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,387End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from MetService, Met Office, and others indicate Wellington's minimum temperature on August 30 will most likely reach around 10°C overnight into early morning, driven by strong northwesterly winds promoting mixing that limits radiational cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with typical late-winter baselines near 7–10°C, though recent high-pressure influence and mild advection have kept overnight readings milder than seasonal averages. Model consensus shows little chance of drops to 7°C or below without unexpected calm or colder air intrusion, while 12°C+ remains unlikely given the wind pattern. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine exact thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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