Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer secured his party's nomination in the August 11, 2026, primary with roughly 81% of the vote, facing only token opposition. Democrat Doug Chapin advanced unopposed in his primary the same day. The district has long leaned Republican, reflected in consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters such as Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Emmer's established position since 2015, combined with the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic resources or polling momentum, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Republican hold in the November general election. No significant late developments have altered the structural advantages for the incumbent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMN-06 House Election Winner
MN-06 House Election Winner
$37,736 Vol.
$37,736 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
10%
$37,736 Vol.
$37,736 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$20,374 Vol.
88%
Democratic Party
$17,362 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer secured his party's nomination in the August 11, 2026, primary with roughly 81% of the vote, facing only token opposition. Democrat Doug Chapin advanced unopposed in his primary the same day. The district has long leaned Republican, reflected in consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters such as Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Emmer's established position since 2015, combined with the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic resources or polling momentum, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Republican hold in the November general election. No significant late developments have altered the structural advantages for the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$37,736End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer secured his party's nomination in the August 11, 2026, primary with roughly 81% of the vote, facing only token opposition. Democrat Doug Chapin advanced unopposed in his primary the same day. The district has long leaned Republican, reflected in consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters such as Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Emmer's established position since 2015, combined with the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic resources or polling momentum, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Republican hold in the November general election. No significant late developments have altered the structural advantages for the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$37,736End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer secured his party's nomination in the August 11, 2026, primary with roughly 81% of the vote, facing only token opposition. Democrat Doug Chapin advanced unopposed in his primary the same day. The district has long leaned Republican, reflected in consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters such as Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Emmer's established position since 2015, combined with the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic resources or polling momentum, underpins the current trader consensus favoring a Republican hold in the November general election. No significant late developments have altered the structural advantages for the incumbent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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