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icon for Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Politics·Main Election

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Politics·Main Election

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Alexandru Nazare 34.8%

Sorin Grindeanu 29.3%

Siegfried Mureșan 17.8%

Ilie Bolojan 4.9%

Polymarket

$3,959,349 Vol.

Alexandru Nazare 34.8%

Sorin Grindeanu 29.3%

Siegfried Mureșan 17.8%

Ilie Bolojan 4.9%

Polymarket

$3,959,349 Vol.

icon for Alexandru Nazare

Alexandru Nazare

$327,001 Vol.

35%

icon for Sorin Grindeanu

Sorin Grindeanu

$505,647 Vol.

29%

icon for Siegfried Mureșan

Siegfried Mureșan

$113,529 Vol.

18%

icon for Ilie Bolojan

Ilie Bolojan

$200,029 Vol.

5%

icon for Alexandru Rogobete

Alexandru Rogobete

$69,566 Vol.

5%

icon for Eugen Tomac

Eugen Tomac

$309,088 Vol.

3%

icon for Radu Burnete

Radu Burnete

$109,007 Vol.

2%

icon for George Simion

George Simion

$66,270 Vol.

2%

icon for Cătălin Predoiu

Cătălin Predoiu

$159,693 Vol.

1%

icon for Victor Ponta

Victor Ponta

$76,915 Vol.

1%

icon for Traian Basescu

Traian Basescu

$76,565 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucian Croitoru

Lucian Croitoru

$63,936 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dan Motreanu

Dan Motreanu

$83,177 Vol.

<1%

icon for Delia Velculescu

Delia Velculescu

$110,237 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dragoș Pîslaru

Dragoș Pîslaru

$85,029 Vol.

<1%

icon for Anca Dragu

Anca Dragu

$78,381 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcel Ciolacu

Marcel Ciolacu

$67,531 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sebastian Burduja

Sebastian Burduja

$74,823 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elena Lasconi

Elena Lasconi

$89,605 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cătălin Drulă

Cătălin Drulă

$61,831 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dacian Cioloș

Dacian Cioloș

$71,809 Vol.

<1%

icon for Emil Boc

Emil Boc

$65,393 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicolae Ciucă

Nicolae Ciucă

$66,221 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mugur Isărescu

Mugur Isărescu

$50,705 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mircea Geoană

Mircea Geoană

$59,242 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucian Isar

Lucian Isar

$62,480 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alexandru Rafila

Alexandru Rafila

$65,449 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ionuț Dumitru

Ionuț Dumitru

$75,841 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vasile Dîncu

Vasile Dîncu

$66,939 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dominic Fritz

Dominic Fritz

$77,253 Vol.

<1%

icon for Raluca Turcan

Raluca Turcan

$57,259 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hunor Kelemen

Hunor Kelemen

$88,810 Vol.

<1%

icon for Calin Georgescu

Calin Georgescu

$65,000 Vol.

<1%

icon for Șerban Matei

Șerban Matei

$81,711 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adrian Veștea

Adrian Veștea

$217,572 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ciprian Ciucu

Ciprian Ciucu

$59,803 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's ongoing parliamentary deadlock since the May 2026 no-confidence vote against the Bolojan cabinet has kept prime ministerial selection fluid, with President Nicușor Dan's September 17 nomination of Siegfried Mureșan as designate prompting a planned minority PNL-USR-UDMR government vote by early October. Traders price Alexandru Nazare highest at 34.8% due to his role as finance minister navigating fiscal consolidation, PNRR absorption, and OECD accession amid high deficits, while Sorin Grindeanu's 29.3% reflects PSD's largest parliamentary bloc and willingness to pursue a minority cabinet. Mureșan's 17.8% captures center-right backing but faces hurdles securing 233 votes. The tight spread among frontrunners stems from fragmented majorities, failed prior nominees, and potential cross-party deals or early elections, with separation likely hinging on the October confidence vote outcome or further coalition talks.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,959,349
End Date
Jan 1, 2028
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's ongoing parliamentary deadlock since the May 2026 no-confidence vote against the Bolojan cabinet has kept prime ministerial selection fluid, with President Nicușor Dan's September 17 nomination of Siegfried Mureșan as designate prompting a planned minority PNL-USR-UDMR government vote by early October. Traders price Alexandru Nazare highest at 34.8% due to his role as finance minister navigating fiscal consolidation, PNRR absorption, and OECD accession amid high deficits, while Sorin Grindeanu's 29.3% reflects PSD's largest parliamentary bloc and willingness to pursue a minority cabinet. Mureșan's 17.8% captures center-right backing but faces hurdles securing 233 votes. The tight spread among frontrunners stems from fragmented majorities, failed prior nominees, and potential cross-party deals or early elections, with separation likely hinging on the October confidence vote outcome or further coalition talks.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,959,349
End Date
Jan 1, 2028
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Romania?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexandru Nazare" at 35%, followed by "Sorin Grindeanu" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" has generated $4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Romania?," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" is "Alexandru Nazare" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sorin Grindeanu" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.