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icon for NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

icon for NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

20-39 94%

<20 2.9%

40-59 1.6%

60-79 <1%

Polymarket
NEW

20-39 94%

<20 2.9%

40-59 1.6%

60-79 <1%

Polymarket
NEW

<20

$51 Vol.

3%

20-39

$199 Vol.

94%

40-59

$50 Vol.

2%

60-79

$111 Vol.

1%

80-99

$91 Vol.

1%

100-119

$96 Vol.

1%

120-139

$391 Vol.

<1%

140-159

$391 Vol.

<1%

160-179

$391 Vol.

<1%

180-199

$602 Vol.

<1%

200+

$486 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 20-39 posts (92%) on the official @NYCMayor X account from May 12-19, reflecting Mayor Zohran Mamdani's consistent posting cadence since his January 2026 inauguration following the 2025 election victory. The account, now rebranded under Mamdani after transitioning from predecessor Eric Adams, averages 3-5 daily updates on policy priorities like the new Mayor's Fund board, internet access expansions, and 3-K program growth announced in recent weeks, with no notable shifts in the past 30 days. This steady rhythm—typical for mayoral public engagement on city services, budgets, and announcements—underpins the commanding lead. Upside risks include a crisis like severe weather or protests prompting a post surge; downside threats encompass account suspension, technical outages, health-related absences, or strategic media pauses.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$2,858
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 1:29 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 20-39 posts (92%) on the official @NYCMayor X account from May 12-19, reflecting Mayor Zohran Mamdani's consistent posting cadence since his January 2026 inauguration following the 2025 election victory. The account, now rebranded under Mamdani after transitioning from predecessor Eric Adams, averages 3-5 daily updates on policy priorities like the new Mayor's Fund board, internet access expansions, and 3-K program growth announced in recent weeks, with no notable shifts in the past 30 days. This steady rhythm—typical for mayoral public engagement on city services, budgets, and announcements—underpins the commanding lead. Upside risks include a crisis like severe weather or protests prompting a post surge; downside threats encompass account suspension, technical outages, health-related absences, or strategic media pauses.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$2,858
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 1:29 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-39" at 94%, followed by "<20" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?" is "20-39" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NYC Mayor # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.