Recent resignations by Eric Swalwell, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick amid separate ethics investigations have narrowed the outcome to whether Cory Mills will also depart the House by May 31. Mills faces ongoing scrutiny over assault allegations and campaign finance issues yet has rejected calls to resign and no expulsion vote appears imminent before the deadline. House procedures require majority support for removal and historical precedent shows expulsions are rare when members contest the process. With Mills actively serving and no scheduled floor action, traders assign an 89.5 percent implied probability that not all four will leave office in the remaining window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$27,623 Vol.
$27,623 Vol.
May 31, 2026
$27,623 Vol.
$27,623 Vol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent resignations by Eric Swalwell, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick amid separate ethics investigations have narrowed the outcome to whether Cory Mills will also depart the House by May 31. Mills faces ongoing scrutiny over assault allegations and campaign finance issues yet has rejected calls to resign and no expulsion vote appears imminent before the deadline. House procedures require majority support for removal and historical precedent shows expulsions are rare when members contest the process. With Mills actively serving and no scheduled floor action, traders assign an 89.5 percent implied probability that not all four will leave office in the remaining window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ET
Volume
$27,623End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent resignations by Eric Swalwell, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick amid separate ethics investigations have narrowed the outcome to whether Cory Mills will also depart the House by May 31. Mills faces ongoing scrutiny over assault allegations and campaign finance issues yet has rejected calls to resign and no expulsion vote appears imminent before the deadline. House procedures require majority support for removal and historical precedent shows expulsions are rare when members contest the process. With Mills actively serving and no scheduled floor action, traders assign an 89.5 percent implied probability that not all four will leave office in the remaining window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,623End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent resignations by Eric Swalwell, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick amid separate ethics investigations have narrowed the outcome to whether Cory Mills will also depart the House by May 31. Mills faces ongoing scrutiny over assault allegations and campaign finance issues yet has rejected calls to resign and no expulsion vote appears imminent before the deadline. House procedures require majority support for removal and historical precedent shows expulsions are rare when members contest the process. With Mills actively serving and no scheduled floor action, traders assign an 89.5 percent implied probability that not all four will leave office in the remaining window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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