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icon for Ted Cruz # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Ted Cruz # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

icon for Ted Cruz # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Ted Cruz # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

120-139 19%

80-99 16%

100-119 15%

140-159 13%

Polymarket
NEW

120-139 19%

80-99 16%

100-119 15%

140-159 13%

Polymarket
NEW

<20

$204 Vol.

1%

20-39

$144 Vol.

2%

40-59

$32 Vol.

5%

60-79

$62 Vol.

3%

80-99

$52 Vol.

24%

100-119

$56 Vol.

24%

120-139

$70 Vol.

14%

140-159

$82 Vol.

29%

160-179

$52 Vol.

28%

180-199

$53 Vol.

12%

200+

$195 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ted Cruz's X posting frequency, tracked via Polymarket's xtracker excluding standard replies, shows high variability tied to Senate floor sessions, committee hearings, and commentary on breaking issues like AOC's policy rants and urban crime data, leaving trader consensus evenly distributed across 60+ bins at 50% implied probability for May 15-22. Recent resolved markets confirm robust output—160-179 posts April 28-May 5 amid Supreme Court rulings and privacy bills, 180-199 May 1-8—yet the ongoing May 5-12 market favors 120-139 (59%), suggesting a lighter legislative tempo. No major catalysts emerged in the past 48 hours, but standard Senate workweeks could elevate volume, while travel or subdued news cycles might cap it below 140, sustaining the tight contest.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,002
End Date
May 22, 2026
Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/tedcruz
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ted Cruz's X posting frequency, tracked via Polymarket's xtracker excluding standard replies, shows high variability tied to Senate floor sessions, committee hearings, and commentary on breaking issues like AOC's policy rants and urban crime data, leaving trader consensus evenly distributed across 60+ bins at 50% implied probability for May 15-22. Recent resolved markets confirm robust output—160-179 posts April 28-May 5 amid Supreme Court rulings and privacy bills, 180-199 May 1-8—yet the ongoing May 5-12 market favors 120-139 (59%), suggesting a lighter legislative tempo. No major catalysts emerged in the past 48 hours, but standard Senate workweeks could elevate volume, while travel or subdued news cycles might cap it below 140, sustaining the tight contest.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,002
End Date
May 22, 2026
Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/tedcruz
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Ted Cruz # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "140-159" at 28%, followed by "160-179" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Ted Cruz # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Ted Cruz # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ted Cruz # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?" is "140-159" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "160-179" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ted Cruz # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.