This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Persistent conditions from Moscow that any direct engagement between the two leaders occur solely as the concluding step after preliminary negotiations continue to shape trader consensus around limited near-term prospects. Recent developments, including the U.S.-mediated three-day ceasefire in early May and the subsequent large-scale prisoner exchange completed on May 15, have sustained diplomatic channels without advancing to a leaders’ summit. These steps align with broader U.S.-led peace efforts that remain stalled amid differing preconditions on territorial and security issues. Potential venues such as Turkey, Qatar, or Switzerland register modest probabilities tied to historical mediation roles, yet structural barriers including ratification requirements and unresolved battlefield dynamics keep the implied probability of no meeting before 2027 elevated. Upcoming diplomatic contacts or shifts in negotiation frameworks could still alter positioning within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Persistent conditions from Moscow that any direct engagement between the two leaders occur solely as the concluding step after preliminary negotiations continue to shape trader consensus around limited near-term prospects. Recent developments, including the U.S.-mediated three-day ceasefire in early May and the subsequent large-scale prisoner exchange completed on May 15, have sustained diplomatic channels without advancing to a leaders’ summit. These steps align with broader U.S.-led peace efforts that remain stalled amid differing preconditions on territorial and security issues. Potential venues such as Turkey, Qatar, or Switzerland register modest probabilities tied to historical mediation roles, yet structural barriers including ratification requirements and unresolved battlefield dynamics keep the implied probability of no meeting before 2027 elevated. Upcoming diplomatic contacts or shifts in negotiation frameworks could still alter positioning within the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
May 10 2026
Putin states some US peace proposals are unacceptable, signaling challenges ahead
Russia rises to 4%3%
Putin publicly stated that certain points in the US peace plan are unacceptable, underscoring the difficulties in reaching a deal and contributing to a decline in the market's confidence in a meeting before 2027, while slightly increasing interest in Russia and the US as meeting venues.
May 7 2026
Putin meets US envoys in Moscow to discuss peace proposals
Russia rises to 3%2%
Russian President Putin held marathon talks with US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner in Moscow to discuss peace proposals, indicating ongoing diplomatic engagement but also highlighting unresolved issues, which influenced market prices for Russia and the US as potential meeting locations.
May 5 2026
Russian drone strikes cause major blackouts in Ukraine amid ongoing peace talks
No meeting before 2027 dips to 79%4%
Russian drone strikes on Ukrainian power grids caused blackouts during ongoing US-led peace talks, highlighting continued conflict and complicating prospects for a Zelenskyy-Putin meeting. This sustained market odds favoring no meeting before 2027.
May 2 2026
Second day of peace talks held in Abu Dhabi amid Russian attacks on Ukraine
Negotiators from Ukraine, Russia, and the US met in Abu Dhabi for a second day of talks aimed at ending the war, despite ongoing Russian attacks. This event supported the possibility of a meeting in Qatar/UAE and increased market interest in diplomatic venues.
Apr 24 2026
Zelenskyy announces trilateral peace talks with Russia and US in UAE
Qatar / UAE rises to 3%1%
Ukrainian President Zelenskyy announced that trilateral talks involving Ukraine, Russia, and the US would be held in the United Arab Emirates, signaling a diplomatic push that increased market interest in Qatar/UAE and Turkey as potential meeting locations.
Apr 14 2026
Zelenskyy meets European leaders in London to discuss US peace plan and security
Zelenskyy met with British, French, and German leaders in London to coordinate on the US peace plan and security guarantees, showing European support but no direct meeting with Putin. This maintained market confidence in no meeting before 2027.
Apr 10 2026
Yemen’s Southern Transitional Council announces dissolution after leader flees to UAE
The UAE-backed separatist Southern Transitional Council in Yemen announced its dissolution following internal divisions and regional pressure, with its leader fleeing to the UAE. This development further strained Saudi-UAE relations and reduced the chances of the UAE hosting a meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin.
Mar 18 2026
No breakthrough in Geneva talks between Russia and Ukraine, both sides say
The Geneva talks ended with no breakthrough and persistent political and military differences, including over territory, reducing expectations for a Zelenskyy-Putin meeting and reinforcing the market's preference for no meeting before 2027.
Mar 1 2026
Saudi Arabia bombs Yemen port city over UAE weapons shipment to separatists
Saudi Arabia plunges to 1%48%
Saudi Arabia bombed Yemen’s Mukalla port city after a weapons shipment from the UAE to separatist forces, escalating regional tensions between Saudi Arabia and the UAE. This conflict distracted regional powers and complicated diplomatic efforts, indirectly reducing the likelihood of a Zelenskyy-Putin meeting in Saudi Arabia or UAE.
Feb 15 2026
Russian attacks on Ukraine continue amid peace talks in UAE
No meeting before 2027 rises to 80%4%
Russian missile and drone attacks on Ukraine occurred simultaneously with ongoing peace talks in Abu Dhabi involving Ukraine, Russia, and the US, undermining prospects for a direct meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin and increasing market confidence in no meeting before 2027.
Feb 1 2026
Next round of trilateral talks scheduled in UAE, Zelenskyy says
No meeting before 2027 dips to 76%2%
Following constructive trilateral talks in the UAE, negotiators planned to return for another round on Feb. 1, showing ongoing diplomacy but no direct leader meeting. This maintained high market odds for no meeting before 2027.
Jan 22 2026
Putin warns Russia will extend gains if peace talks fail
No meeting before 2027 rises to 79%1%
Russian President Putin publicly warned that Russia would seek to extend its territorial gains in Ukraine if peace talks fail, signaling hardened positions and reducing likelihood of a direct meeting with Zelenskyy, which influenced market prices downward for meeting locations and upward for no meeting.
Jan 15 2026
Trump hosts Board of Peace signing ceremony in Davos with Putin invited
The US hosted a Board of Peace signing ceremony in Davos, inviting Russia and other countries, including those in the Middle East, to participate in peace efforts. This diplomatic initiative raised hopes but did not lead to a direct meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin, affecting market prices for meeting locations.
Jan 6 2026
Kremlin aide praises Trump's peace efforts after Zelenskyy meeting and Putin call
No meeting before 2027 rises to 82%2%
Kremlin envoy Kirill Dmitriev praised Trump's peace efforts following the Zelenskyy-Trump meeting and a phone call between Trump and Putin, indicating ongoing diplomatic engagement but no direct Zelenskyy-Putin meeting. This reinforced market confidence in no meeting before 2027.
Jan 5 2026
Zelenskyy meets Trump in Florida to discuss Ukraine security guarantees
No meeting before 2027 jumps to 80%13%
Zelenskyy met with Trump in Florida to discuss security guarantees and peace proposals, signaling progress in US-led diplomacy but no direct meeting with Putin. This meeting increased optimism for peace but did not raise chances of a Zelenskyy-Putin meeting in the US or elsewhere.
Dec 29 2025
Russian official alleges Ukrainian drone attack on Putin's residence
No meeting before 2027 jumps to 72%5%
Russia claimed Ukraine launched a drone attack on Putin's residence, which Zelenskyy dismissed as disinformation. This escalated tensions and hardened Russia's negotiating stance, reducing chances of a meeting in Russia or Belarus and lowering related market prices.
Nov 6 2025
US, Russia and Ukraine to hold trilateral talks in UAE, Zelenskyy says
No meeting before 2027 surges to 79%20%
Zelenskyy announced trilateral talks involving Ukraine, Russia, and the US to be held in the UAE, signaling a diplomatic push but no direct meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin. This news caused a sharp drop in the Qatar/UAE meeting probability and increased the likelihood of no meeting before 2027.
Nov 6 2025
Zelenskyy announces trilateral talks with Russia and US in UAE
Qatar / UAE plunges to 3%46%
Ukrainian President Zelenskyy announced that trilateral talks involving Ukraine, Russia, and the United States would be held in the United Arab Emirates, signaling ongoing diplomatic efforts but no direct meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin. This announcement initially affected market expectations for a meeting in UAE/Qatar and related locations.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Persistent conditions from Moscow that any direct engagement between the two leaders occur solely as the concluding step after preliminary negotiations continue to shape trader consensus around limited near-term prospects. Recent developments, including the U.S.-mediated three-day ceasefire in early May and the subsequent large-scale prisoner exchange completed on May 15, have sustained diplomatic channels without advancing to a leaders’ summit. These steps align with broader U.S.-led peace efforts that remain stalled amid differing preconditions on territorial and security issues. Potential venues such as Turkey, Qatar, or Switzerland register modest probabilities tied to historical mediation roles, yet structural barriers including ratification requirements and unresolved battlefield dynamics keep the implied probability of no meeting before 2027 elevated. Upcoming diplomatic contacts or shifts in negotiation frameworks could still alter positioning within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Persistent conditions from Moscow that any direct engagement between the two leaders occur solely as the concluding step after preliminary negotiations continue to shape trader consensus around limited near-term prospects. Recent developments, including the U.S.-mediated three-day ceasefire in early May and the subsequent large-scale prisoner exchange completed on May 15, have sustained diplomatic channels without advancing to a leaders’ summit. These steps align with broader U.S.-led peace efforts that remain stalled amid differing preconditions on territorial and security issues. Potential venues such as Turkey, Qatar, or Switzerland register modest probabilities tied to historical mediation roles, yet structural barriers including ratification requirements and unresolved battlefield dynamics keep the implied probability of no meeting before 2027 elevated. Upcoming diplomatic contacts or shifts in negotiation frameworks could still alter positioning within the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
May 10 2026
Putin states some US peace proposals are unacceptable, signaling challenges ahead
Russia rises to 4%3%
Putin publicly stated that certain points in the US peace plan are unacceptable, underscoring the difficulties in reaching a deal and contributing to a decline in the market's confidence in a meeting before 2027, while slightly increasing interest in Russia and the US as meeting venues.
May 7 2026
Putin meets US envoys in Moscow to discuss peace proposals
Russia rises to 3%2%
Russian President Putin held marathon talks with US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner in Moscow to discuss peace proposals, indicating ongoing diplomatic engagement but also highlighting unresolved issues, which influenced market prices for Russia and the US as potential meeting locations.
May 5 2026
Russian drone strikes cause major blackouts in Ukraine amid ongoing peace talks
No meeting before 2027 dips to 79%4%
Russian drone strikes on Ukrainian power grids caused blackouts during ongoing US-led peace talks, highlighting continued conflict and complicating prospects for a Zelenskyy-Putin meeting. This sustained market odds favoring no meeting before 2027.
May 2 2026
Second day of peace talks held in Abu Dhabi amid Russian attacks on Ukraine
Negotiators from Ukraine, Russia, and the US met in Abu Dhabi for a second day of talks aimed at ending the war, despite ongoing Russian attacks. This event supported the possibility of a meeting in Qatar/UAE and increased market interest in diplomatic venues.
Apr 24 2026
Zelenskyy announces trilateral peace talks with Russia and US in UAE
Qatar / UAE rises to 3%1%
Ukrainian President Zelenskyy announced that trilateral talks involving Ukraine, Russia, and the US would be held in the United Arab Emirates, signaling a diplomatic push that increased market interest in Qatar/UAE and Turkey as potential meeting locations.
Apr 14 2026
Zelenskyy meets European leaders in London to discuss US peace plan and security
Zelenskyy met with British, French, and German leaders in London to coordinate on the US peace plan and security guarantees, showing European support but no direct meeting with Putin. This maintained market confidence in no meeting before 2027.
Apr 10 2026
Yemen’s Southern Transitional Council announces dissolution after leader flees to UAE
The UAE-backed separatist Southern Transitional Council in Yemen announced its dissolution following internal divisions and regional pressure, with its leader fleeing to the UAE. This development further strained Saudi-UAE relations and reduced the chances of the UAE hosting a meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin.
Mar 18 2026
No breakthrough in Geneva talks between Russia and Ukraine, both sides say
The Geneva talks ended with no breakthrough and persistent political and military differences, including over territory, reducing expectations for a Zelenskyy-Putin meeting and reinforcing the market's preference for no meeting before 2027.
Mar 1 2026
Saudi Arabia bombs Yemen port city over UAE weapons shipment to separatists
Saudi Arabia plunges to 1%48%
Saudi Arabia bombed Yemen’s Mukalla port city after a weapons shipment from the UAE to separatist forces, escalating regional tensions between Saudi Arabia and the UAE. This conflict distracted regional powers and complicated diplomatic efforts, indirectly reducing the likelihood of a Zelenskyy-Putin meeting in Saudi Arabia or UAE.
Feb 15 2026
Russian attacks on Ukraine continue amid peace talks in UAE
No meeting before 2027 rises to 80%4%
Russian missile and drone attacks on Ukraine occurred simultaneously with ongoing peace talks in Abu Dhabi involving Ukraine, Russia, and the US, undermining prospects for a direct meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin and increasing market confidence in no meeting before 2027.
Feb 1 2026
Next round of trilateral talks scheduled in UAE, Zelenskyy says
No meeting before 2027 dips to 76%2%
Following constructive trilateral talks in the UAE, negotiators planned to return for another round on Feb. 1, showing ongoing diplomacy but no direct leader meeting. This maintained high market odds for no meeting before 2027.
Jan 22 2026
Putin warns Russia will extend gains if peace talks fail
No meeting before 2027 rises to 79%1%
Russian President Putin publicly warned that Russia would seek to extend its territorial gains in Ukraine if peace talks fail, signaling hardened positions and reducing likelihood of a direct meeting with Zelenskyy, which influenced market prices downward for meeting locations and upward for no meeting.
Jan 15 2026
Trump hosts Board of Peace signing ceremony in Davos with Putin invited
The US hosted a Board of Peace signing ceremony in Davos, inviting Russia and other countries, including those in the Middle East, to participate in peace efforts. This diplomatic initiative raised hopes but did not lead to a direct meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin, affecting market prices for meeting locations.
Jan 6 2026
Kremlin aide praises Trump's peace efforts after Zelenskyy meeting and Putin call
No meeting before 2027 rises to 82%2%
Kremlin envoy Kirill Dmitriev praised Trump's peace efforts following the Zelenskyy-Trump meeting and a phone call between Trump and Putin, indicating ongoing diplomatic engagement but no direct Zelenskyy-Putin meeting. This reinforced market confidence in no meeting before 2027.
Jan 5 2026
Zelenskyy meets Trump in Florida to discuss Ukraine security guarantees
No meeting before 2027 jumps to 80%13%
Zelenskyy met with Trump in Florida to discuss security guarantees and peace proposals, signaling progress in US-led diplomacy but no direct meeting with Putin. This meeting increased optimism for peace but did not raise chances of a Zelenskyy-Putin meeting in the US or elsewhere.
Dec 29 2025
Russian official alleges Ukrainian drone attack on Putin's residence
No meeting before 2027 jumps to 72%5%
Russia claimed Ukraine launched a drone attack on Putin's residence, which Zelenskyy dismissed as disinformation. This escalated tensions and hardened Russia's negotiating stance, reducing chances of a meeting in Russia or Belarus and lowering related market prices.
Nov 6 2025
US, Russia and Ukraine to hold trilateral talks in UAE, Zelenskyy says
No meeting before 2027 surges to 79%20%
Zelenskyy announced trilateral talks involving Ukraine, Russia, and the US to be held in the UAE, signaling a diplomatic push but no direct meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin. This news caused a sharp drop in the Qatar/UAE meeting probability and increased the likelihood of no meeting before 2027.
Nov 6 2025
Zelenskyy announces trilateral talks with Russia and US in UAE
Qatar / UAE plunges to 3%46%
Ukrainian President Zelenskyy announced that trilateral talks involving Ukraine, Russia, and the United States would be held in the United Arab Emirates, signaling ongoing diplomatic efforts but no direct meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin. This announcement initially affected market expectations for a meeting in UAE/Qatar and related locations.
"Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No meeting before 2027" at 79%, followed by "Qatar / UAE" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?" has generated $2.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?" is "No meeting before 2027" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Qatar / UAE" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.
Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $2.5 million traded on “Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.
To place your first trade on "Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.
On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 79¢ for "No meeting before 2027" in the "Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 79% chance that "No meeting before 2027" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 79¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 21¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.
The "Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Dec 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.
The "Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?" market has an active community of 46 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.
Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.
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