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icon for Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Elections·US Election

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

icon for Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Elections·US Election

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Polymarket

$2,424,316 Vol.

Polymarket

$2,424,316 Vol.

icon for Democratic

Democratic

$1,203,004 Vol.

66%

icon for Republican

Republican

$1,221,312 Vol.

35%

The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Trader consensus favors Democrats at 66% for the 2028 presidential election, driven by headwinds confronting the sitting Republican administration. Low presidential approval and voter concerns over economic conditions have fueled Democratic momentum on the generic congressional ballot ahead of the November 2026 midterms. Strong midterm results could enhance Democratic positioning entering the presidential cycle. Both parties confront open nomination fields without established frontrunners, leaving room for shifts based on primary performance in early states, legislative outcomes, and evolving economic indicators through 2027. These dynamics shape the current party-level pricing as traders weigh structural advantages against a lengthy timeline to Election Day.

The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volume
$2,424,316
End Date
Jan 21, 2029
Market Opened
Jul 18, 2025, 1:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Trader consensus favors Democrats at 66% for the 2028 presidential election, driven by headwinds confronting the sitting Republican administration. Low presidential approval and voter concerns over economic conditions have fueled Democratic momentum on the generic congressional ballot ahead of the November 2026 midterms. Strong midterm results could enhance Democratic positioning entering the presidential cycle. Both parties confront open nomination fields without established frontrunners, leaving room for shifts based on primary performance in early states, legislative outcomes, and evolving economic indicators through 2027. These dynamics shape the current party-level pricing as traders weigh structural advantages against a lengthy timeline to Election Day.

The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volume
$2,424,316
End Date
Jan 21, 2029
Market Opened
Jul 18, 2025, 1:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Democratic" at 66%, followed by "Republican" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?" has generated $2.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?" is "Democratic" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Republican" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.