President Donald Trump’s pattern of direct public criticism on Truth Social and in press settings continues to shape trader views on the May 31 deadline. In mid-May he targeted Democratic figures including former Attorney General Eric Holder and lawyer Marc Elias, then lashed out at MSNBC reporter Akayla Gardner over White House renovation costs and Texas state Senator James Talarico on policy and personal grounds. These exchanges fit a documented record of sharp remarks aimed at political opponents and journalists, especially during periods of active policy debate. With roughly two weeks remaining, any further Truth Social posts or on-camera exchanges before the cutoff could still influence the market’s assessment of likely targets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$102,578 Vol.
May 31, 2026
Marjorie Taylor Greene
63%
Freidrich Merz
37%
Tucker Carlson
39%
Nicolás Maduro
33%
Megyn Kelly
22%
Keir Starmer
19%
Zohran Mamdani
19%
Kaitlan Collins
16%
Emmanuel Macron
12%
Alex Jones
12%
Pam Bondi
10%
Mohammed bin Salman
7%
Pope Leo XIV
6%
Elon Musk
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
3%
J.D. Vance
3%
Vladimir Putin
3%
Xi Jinping
3%
Viktor Orbán
1%
Melania Trump
1%
$102,578 Vol.
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$1,569 Vol.
63%
Freidrich Merz
$1,791 Vol.
37%
Tucker Carlson
$4,435 Vol.
39%
Nicolás Maduro
$4,389 Vol.
33%
Megyn Kelly
$3,383 Vol.
22%
Keir Starmer
$2,766 Vol.
19%
Zohran Mamdani
$1,792 Vol.
19%
Kaitlan Collins
$262 Vol.
16%
Emmanuel Macron
$537 Vol.
12%
Alex Jones
$77 Vol.
12%
Pam Bondi
$460 Vol.
10%
Mohammed bin Salman
$130 Vol.
7%
Pope Leo XIV
$9,385 Vol.
6%
Elon Musk
$1,468 Vol.
3%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$426 Vol.
3%
J.D. Vance
$4,441 Vol.
3%
Vladimir Putin
$1,617 Vol.
3%
Xi Jinping
$6,317 Vol.
3%
Viktor Orbán
$3,671 Vol.
1%
Melania Trump
$2,056 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump’s pattern of direct public criticism on Truth Social and in press settings continues to shape trader views on the May 31 deadline. In mid-May he targeted Democratic figures including former Attorney General Eric Holder and lawyer Marc Elias, then lashed out at MSNBC reporter Akayla Gardner over White House renovation costs and Texas state Senator James Talarico on policy and personal grounds. These exchanges fit a documented record of sharp remarks aimed at political opponents and journalists, especially during periods of active policy debate. With roughly two weeks remaining, any further Truth Social posts or on-camera exchanges before the cutoff could still influence the market’s assessment of likely targets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$102,578End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump’s pattern of direct public criticism on Truth Social and in press settings continues to shape trader views on the May 31 deadline. In mid-May he targeted Democratic figures including former Attorney General Eric Holder and lawyer Marc Elias, then lashed out at MSNBC reporter Akayla Gardner over White House renovation costs and Texas state Senator James Talarico on policy and personal grounds. These exchanges fit a documented record of sharp remarks aimed at political opponents and journalists, especially during periods of active policy debate. With roughly two weeks remaining, any further Truth Social posts or on-camera exchanges before the cutoff could still influence the market’s assessment of likely targets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$102,578End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump’s pattern of direct public criticism on Truth Social and in press settings continues to shape trader views on the May 31 deadline. In mid-May he targeted Democratic figures including former Attorney General Eric Holder and lawyer Marc Elias, then lashed out at MSNBC reporter Akayla Gardner over White House renovation costs and Texas state Senator James Talarico on policy and personal grounds. These exchanges fit a documented record of sharp remarks aimed at political opponents and journalists, especially during periods of active policy debate. With roughly two weeks remaining, any further Truth Social posts or on-camera exchanges before the cutoff could still influence the market’s assessment of likely targets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions