Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 99.9% "No" due to no official announcements or reports of Xi Jinping meeting Iranian government officials as of May 13, with just two days remaining until the May 15 deadline. Xi's Beijing schedule is dominated by the ongoing high-stakes bilateral summit with U.S. President Trump through May 15, prioritizing discussions on the Iran conflict, trade tariffs, Taiwan, and technology amid U.S. pressure on China's oil purchases from Tehran. Recent diplomacy includes Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi's May 6 talks with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi and Iran's May 12 endorsement of Xi's four-point Gulf security proposal, but none involved Xi personally. Realistic shifts would require an unforeseen escalation or emergency diplomatic breakthrough prompting an unscheduled encounter, though protocol and current priorities make this improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedXi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
$167,224 Vol.
$167,224 Vol.
May 15, 2026
$167,224 Vol.
$167,224 Vol.
May 15, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 99.9% "No" due to no official announcements or reports of Xi Jinping meeting Iranian government officials as of May 13, with just two days remaining until the May 15 deadline. Xi's Beijing schedule is dominated by the ongoing high-stakes bilateral summit with U.S. President Trump through May 15, prioritizing discussions on the Iran conflict, trade tariffs, Taiwan, and technology amid U.S. pressure on China's oil purchases from Tehran. Recent diplomacy includes Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi's May 6 talks with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi and Iran's May 12 endorsement of Xi's four-point Gulf security proposal, but none involved Xi personally. Realistic shifts would require an unforeseen escalation or emergency diplomatic breakthrough prompting an unscheduled encounter, though protocol and current priorities make this improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 5, 2026, 1:08 PM ET
Volume
$167,224End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 99.9% "No" due to no official announcements or reports of Xi Jinping meeting Iranian government officials as of May 13, with just two days remaining until the May 15 deadline. Xi's Beijing schedule is dominated by the ongoing high-stakes bilateral summit with U.S. President Trump through May 15, prioritizing discussions on the Iran conflict, trade tariffs, Taiwan, and technology amid U.S. pressure on China's oil purchases from Tehran. Recent diplomacy includes Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi's May 6 talks with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi and Iran's May 12 endorsement of Xi's four-point Gulf security proposal, but none involved Xi personally. Realistic shifts would require an unforeseen escalation or emergency diplomatic breakthrough prompting an unscheduled encounter, though protocol and current priorities make this improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$167,224End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 99.9% "No" due to no official announcements or reports of Xi Jinping meeting Iranian government officials as of May 13, with just two days remaining until the May 15 deadline. Xi's Beijing schedule is dominated by the ongoing high-stakes bilateral summit with U.S. President Trump through May 15, prioritizing discussions on the Iran conflict, trade tariffs, Taiwan, and technology amid U.S. pressure on China's oil purchases from Tehran. Recent diplomacy includes Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi's May 6 talks with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi and Iran's May 12 endorsement of Xi's four-point Gulf security proposal, but none involved Xi personally. Realistic shifts would require an unforeseen escalation or emergency diplomatic breakthrough prompting an unscheduled encounter, though protocol and current priorities make this improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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