Current meteorological observations from Schiphol and KNMI stations, combined with ECMWF ensemble runs, establish a maximum temperature of 12°C for Amsterdam today, driving the market's near-certain consensus. Cool maritime air under northwest flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers have suppressed daytime warming well below the May climatological average of 16–18°C, with early readings near 8–10°C showing minimal afternoon recovery. Limited sunshine duration in the latest model guidance reinforces this outcome, while historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns confirm the rarity of brief spikes above 13°C under these conditions. Final hourly data releases and any late-day clearing could theoretically shift the peak marginally higher, though such developments appear improbable based on the tightening forecast spread.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
12°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$41,949 Vol.
$41,949 Vol.
16 mai 2026
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$41,949 Vol.
$41,949 Vol.
16 mai 2026
12°C
$9,576 Vol.
100%
13°C
$6,942 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$6,261 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$4,258 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,835 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,381 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$3,057 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological observations from Schiphol and KNMI stations, combined with ECMWF ensemble runs, establish a maximum temperature of 12°C for Amsterdam today, driving the market's near-certain consensus. Cool maritime air under northwest flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers have suppressed daytime warming well below the May climatological average of 16–18°C, with early readings near 8–10°C showing minimal afternoon recovery. Limited sunshine duration in the latest model guidance reinforces this outcome, while historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns confirm the rarity of brief spikes above 13°C under these conditions. Final hourly data releases and any late-day clearing could theoretically shift the peak marginally higher, though such developments appear improbable based on the tightening forecast spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Volume
$41,949Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological observations from Schiphol and KNMI stations, combined with ECMWF ensemble runs, establish a maximum temperature of 12°C for Amsterdam today, driving the market's near-certain consensus. Cool maritime air under northwest flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers have suppressed daytime warming well below the May climatological average of 16–18°C, with early readings near 8–10°C showing minimal afternoon recovery. Limited sunshine duration in the latest model guidance reinforces this outcome, while historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns confirm the rarity of brief spikes above 13°C under these conditions. Final hourly data releases and any late-day clearing could theoretically shift the peak marginally higher, though such developments appear improbable based on the tightening forecast spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$41,949Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological observations from Schiphol and KNMI stations, combined with ECMWF ensemble runs, establish a maximum temperature of 12°C for Amsterdam today, driving the market's near-certain consensus. Cool maritime air under northwest flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers have suppressed daytime warming well below the May climatological average of 16–18°C, with early readings near 8–10°C showing minimal afternoon recovery. Limited sunshine duration in the latest model guidance reinforces this outcome, while historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns confirm the rarity of brief spikes above 13°C under these conditions. Final hourly data releases and any late-day clearing could theoretically shift the peak marginally higher, though such developments appear improbable based on the tightening forecast spread.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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