Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service project a daytime maximum of 20°C at Ankara’s Esenboğa International Airport station on May 16, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure dominance and moderate northerly flow limiting afternoon warming. This aligns with mid-May climatological norms of 20–22°C on the Anatolian plateau, where elevation and continental air masses typically cap highs near this level under clear to partly cloudy skies. Model consensus across regional runs reinforces the outcome with minimal spread, placing the market-implied probability at near-certainty. A modest uptick in insolation or unexpected southeasterly advection could push readings to 21°C, though current observational trends and upper-level guidance make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$65,355 Vol.
$65,355 Vol.
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$65,355 Vol.
$65,355 Vol.
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service project a daytime maximum of 20°C at Ankara’s Esenboğa International Airport station on May 16, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure dominance and moderate northerly flow limiting afternoon warming. This aligns with mid-May climatological norms of 20–22°C on the Anatolian plateau, where elevation and continental air masses typically cap highs near this level under clear to partly cloudy skies. Model consensus across regional runs reinforces the outcome with minimal spread, placing the market-implied probability at near-certainty. A modest uptick in insolation or unexpected southeasterly advection could push readings to 21°C, though current observational trends and upper-level guidance make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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