Recent official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensemble models project a daytime maximum near 19°C in Helsinki on May 16, driven by mild southerly advection of Atlantic air under a high-pressure ridge combined with moderate solar heating and partly cloudy skies that limit further warming. Midday observations tracking in the 16–18°C range reinforce this narrow band, while historical May averages near 15°C highlight the mild anomaly without pushing toward higher thresholds. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 19°C reflects strong alignment with these data, though slight uncertainty in peak timing or unexpected clear-sky enhancement could realistically shift the final recorded high by 1°C. Final resolution awaits official post-sunset verification from local stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 16?
19°C 100.0%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$62,661 Vol.
$62,661 Vol.
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 100.0%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$62,661 Vol.
$62,661 Vol.
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Yes
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Yes
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Yes
Recent official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensemble models project a daytime maximum near 19°C in Helsinki on May 16, driven by mild southerly advection of Atlantic air under a high-pressure ridge combined with moderate solar heating and partly cloudy skies that limit further warming. Midday observations tracking in the 16–18°C range reinforce this narrow band, while historical May averages near 15°C highlight the mild anomaly without pushing toward higher thresholds. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 19°C reflects strong alignment with these data, though slight uncertainty in peak timing or unexpected clear-sky enhancement could realistically shift the final recorded high by 1°C. Final resolution awaits official post-sunset verification from local stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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