Environment and Climate Change Canada’s latest forecast for Toronto on May 16 centers on a daytime high near 21–22 °C under partly cloudy skies, with a 40–60 % chance of afternoon showers that limit solar heating and cap peak readings. These conditions align with mid-May climatology for the region, where typical highs hover around 18 °C but can rise several degrees under clear or partly cloudy flow before moisture and cloud cover intervene. Trader consensus has clustered sharply on the 21 °C outcome at 80 % implied probability, reflecting the narrow range between forecast guidance and historical model performance for similar spring setups. Any late-day clearing or reduced shower coverage could push readings to 22 °C, though current model consensus favors the lower end of that window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Toronto on May 16?
21°C 83%
22°C 15%
25°C <1%
23°C <1%
$136,907 Vol.
$136,907 Vol.
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
83%
22°C
15%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 83%
22°C 15%
25°C <1%
23°C <1%
$136,907 Vol.
$136,907 Vol.
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
83%
22°C
15%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment and Climate Change Canada’s latest forecast for Toronto on May 16 centers on a daytime high near 21–22 °C under partly cloudy skies, with a 40–60 % chance of afternoon showers that limit solar heating and cap peak readings. These conditions align with mid-May climatology for the region, where typical highs hover around 18 °C but can rise several degrees under clear or partly cloudy flow before moisture and cloud cover intervene. Trader consensus has clustered sharply on the 21 °C outcome at 80 % implied probability, reflecting the narrow range between forecast guidance and historical model performance for similar spring setups. Any late-day clearing or reduced shower coverage could push readings to 22 °C, though current model consensus favors the lower end of that window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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