United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party backed by extensive administrative resources, a mixed electoral system that favors single-member district control, and Kremlin-aligned institutions that limit genuine opposition. Recent developments include the June party congress featuring Putin’s endorsement and a candidate list incorporating war veterans alongside figures such as Sergei Lavrov and Sergei Sobyanin, alongside an August Supreme Court decision barring the anti-war Yabloko party. State-linked polls from FOM and WCIOM show the party well ahead, while independent surveys indicate softer underlying support and deliberate efforts to suppress turnout. Trader consensus at 98.6% reflects these structural barriers and managed competition. Realistic shifts would require major late developments such as a sharp reversal in the Ukraine conflict or an acute domestic crisis capable of mobilizing unexpected opposition within the narrow remaining window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRussie unie (ER) 98.6%
Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF) <1%
Nouvelles Personnes (NL) <1%
Iabloko <1%
$3,344,990 Vol.
$3,344,990 Vol.
29 sept. 2026
Russie unie (ER)
99%
Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF)
1%
Nouvelles Personnes (NL)
1%
Iabloko
<1%
Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR)
<1%
Russie juste – Pour la vérité (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Plateforme Civique (GP)
<1%
Russie unie (ER) 98.6%
Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF) <1%
Nouvelles Personnes (NL) <1%
Iabloko <1%
$3,344,990 Vol.
$3,344,990 Vol.
29 sept. 2026
Russie unie (ER)
$877,239 Vol.
99%
Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF)
$181,219 Vol.
1%
Nouvelles Personnes (NL)
$156,131 Vol.
1%
Iabloko
$58,746 Vol.
<1%
Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR)
$221,262 Vol.
<1%
Russie juste – Pour la vérité (SRZP)
$742,252 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$503,710 Vol.
<1%
Plateforme Civique (GP)
$604,433 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party backed by extensive administrative resources, a mixed electoral system that favors single-member district control, and Kremlin-aligned institutions that limit genuine opposition. Recent developments include the June party congress featuring Putin’s endorsement and a candidate list incorporating war veterans alongside figures such as Sergei Lavrov and Sergei Sobyanin, alongside an August Supreme Court decision barring the anti-war Yabloko party. State-linked polls from FOM and WCIOM show the party well ahead, while independent surveys indicate softer underlying support and deliberate efforts to suppress turnout. Trader consensus at 98.6% reflects these structural barriers and managed competition. Realistic shifts would require major late developments such as a sharp reversal in the Ukraine conflict or an acute domestic crisis capable of mobilizing unexpected opposition within the narrow remaining window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Marché ouvert : Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volume
$3,344,990Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party backed by extensive administrative resources, a mixed electoral system that favors single-member district control, and Kremlin-aligned institutions that limit genuine opposition. Recent developments include the June party congress featuring Putin’s endorsement and a candidate list incorporating war veterans alongside figures such as Sergei Lavrov and Sergei Sobyanin, alongside an August Supreme Court decision barring the anti-war Yabloko party. State-linked polls from FOM and WCIOM show the party well ahead, while independent surveys indicate softer underlying support and deliberate efforts to suppress turnout. Trader consensus at 98.6% reflects these structural barriers and managed competition. Realistic shifts would require major late developments such as a sharp reversal in the Ukraine conflict or an acute domestic crisis capable of mobilizing unexpected opposition within the narrow remaining window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$3,344,990Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party backed by extensive administrative resources, a mixed electoral system that favors single-member district control, and Kremlin-aligned institutions that limit genuine opposition. Recent developments include the June party congress featuring Putin’s endorsement and a candidate list incorporating war veterans alongside figures such as Sergei Lavrov and Sergei Sobyanin, alongside an August Supreme Court decision barring the anti-war Yabloko party. State-linked polls from FOM and WCIOM show the party well ahead, while independent surveys indicate softer underlying support and deliberate efforts to suppress turnout. Trader consensus at 98.6% reflects these structural barriers and managed competition. Realistic shifts would require major late developments such as a sharp reversal in the Ukraine conflict or an acute domestic crisis capable of mobilizing unexpected opposition within the narrow remaining window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
42%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
85%
Le parti Russie unie (ER) obtiendra-t-il le plus de sièges lors des prochaines élections parlementaires russes ?
73%
Oui
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