Recent reports of U.S. and Iranian negotiators nearing a one-page memorandum of understanding to halt the ongoing conflict, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 30 days of deeper nuclear talks have propelled trader consensus to 57.5% for a deal before 2027. Indirect discussions mediated by Pakistan and Oman advanced in early May, with Iran reviewing a U.S. proposal for diluting highly enriched uranium stockpiles and imposing a 12-15 year enrichment moratorium in exchange for partial sanctions relief. President Trump's public endorsement of progress and short deadlines underscore urgency, though Iranian sources highlight persistent gaps on nuclear curbs and trust issues. Vice President Vance's recent emphasis on negotiation momentum further bolsters optimism amid de-escalation signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$1,314,459 Vol.
$1,314,459 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$1,314,459 Vol.
$1,314,459 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent reports of U.S. and Iranian negotiators nearing a one-page memorandum of understanding to halt the ongoing conflict, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 30 days of deeper nuclear talks have propelled trader consensus to 57.5% for a deal before 2027. Indirect discussions mediated by Pakistan and Oman advanced in early May, with Iran reviewing a U.S. proposal for diluting highly enriched uranium stockpiles and imposing a 12-15 year enrichment moratorium in exchange for partial sanctions relief. President Trump's public endorsement of progress and short deadlines underscore urgency, though Iranian sources highlight persistent gaps on nuclear curbs and trust issues. Vice President Vance's recent emphasis on negotiation momentum further bolsters optimism amid de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Volume
$1,314,459Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent reports of U.S. and Iranian negotiators nearing a one-page memorandum of understanding to halt the ongoing conflict, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 30 days of deeper nuclear talks have propelled trader consensus to 57.5% for a deal before 2027. Indirect discussions mediated by Pakistan and Oman advanced in early May, with Iran reviewing a U.S. proposal for diluting highly enriched uranium stockpiles and imposing a 12-15 year enrichment moratorium in exchange for partial sanctions relief. President Trump's public endorsement of progress and short deadlines underscore urgency, though Iranian sources highlight persistent gaps on nuclear curbs and trust issues. Vice President Vance's recent emphasis on negotiation momentum further bolsters optimism amid de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$1,314,459Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent reports of U.S. and Iranian negotiators nearing a one-page memorandum of understanding to halt the ongoing conflict, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 30 days of deeper nuclear talks have propelled trader consensus to 57.5% for a deal before 2027. Indirect discussions mediated by Pakistan and Oman advanced in early May, with Iran reviewing a U.S. proposal for diluting highly enriched uranium stockpiles and imposing a 12-15 year enrichment moratorium in exchange for partial sanctions relief. President Trump's public endorsement of progress and short deadlines underscore urgency, though Iranian sources highlight persistent gaps on nuclear curbs and trust issues. Vice President Vance's recent emphasis on negotiation momentum further bolsters optimism amid de-escalation signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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