National Weather Service forecasts confirm a high near 92°F in Austin today under mostly sunny skies and light south-southeasterly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 82°F or higher as models like the GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement on persistent upper-ridge dominance suppressing cooler air intrusions. Current observations already exceed 87°F midday at key stations like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, well above the mid-May climatological average of 86°F, with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions limiting evaporative cooling. Realistic challenges include isolated severe storms or unexpected high cloud deck ahead of a distant cold front, potentially capping highs below 82°F, though probabilities remain near zero per official guidance; monitor hourly NWS updates through late afternoon for final peak temperatures.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Austin on May 14?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 14?
82°F or higher 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$91,314 Vol.
$91,314 Vol.
May 14, 2026
63°F or below
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82°F or higher
Yes
82°F or higher 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$91,314 Vol.
$91,314 Vol.
May 14, 2026
63°F or below
$9,142 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$3,324 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$7,014 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$5,391 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$6,164 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$5,631 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$5,532 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$6,860 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$5,842 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$10,528 Vol.
No
82°F or higher
$25,885 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts confirm a high near 92°F in Austin today under mostly sunny skies and light south-southeasterly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 82°F or higher as models like the GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement on persistent upper-ridge dominance suppressing cooler air intrusions. Current observations already exceed 87°F midday at key stations like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, well above the mid-May climatological average of 86°F, with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions limiting evaporative cooling. Realistic challenges include isolated severe storms or unexpected high cloud deck ahead of a distant cold front, potentially capping highs below 82°F, though probabilities remain near zero per official guidance; monitor hourly NWS updates through late afternoon for final peak temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$91,314Tanggal Berakhir
May 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts confirm a high near 92°F in Austin today under mostly sunny skies and light south-southeasterly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 82°F or higher as models like the GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement on persistent upper-ridge dominance suppressing cooler air intrusions. Current observations already exceed 87°F midday at key stations like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, well above the mid-May climatological average of 86°F, with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions limiting evaporative cooling. Realistic challenges include isolated severe storms or unexpected high cloud deck ahead of a distant cold front, potentially capping highs below 82°F, though probabilities remain near zero per official guidance; monitor hourly NWS updates through late afternoon for final peak temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$91,314Tanggal Berakhir
May 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
National Weather Service forecasts confirm a high near 92°F in Austin today under mostly sunny skies and light south-southeasterly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 82°F or higher as models like the GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement on persistent upper-ridge dominance suppressing cooler air intrusions. Current observations already exceed 87°F midday at key stations like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, well above the mid-May climatological average of 86°F, with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions limiting evaporative cooling. Realistic challenges include isolated severe storms or unexpected high cloud deck ahead of a distant cold front, potentially capping highs below 82°F, though probabilities remain near zero per official guidance; monitor hourly NWS updates through late afternoon for final peak temperatures.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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