Official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and supporting models like those from AccuWeather project a high temperature of 24–27°C in Mexico City today, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 21°C or higher as traders align with this consensus backed by real capital. Current morning observations show temperatures around 14–17°C under partly cloudy skies at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, with ample daytime solar heating expected amid typical late-May dry-season patterns and no incoming cold fronts. Historical May highs average 25°C, reinforcing positioning. Realistic challenges—unlikely sudden overcast or northerly winds—would require abrupt atmospheric shifts, absent in steering currents; final resolution awaits evening data from key stations like Benito Juárez International Airport.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 14?
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$26,675 Vol.
$26,675 Vol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
Yes
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$26,675 Vol.
$26,675 Vol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and supporting models like those from AccuWeather project a high temperature of 24–27°C in Mexico City today, driving the 100% market-implied probability for 21°C or higher as traders align with this consensus backed by real capital. Current morning observations show temperatures around 14–17°C under partly cloudy skies at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, with ample daytime solar heating expected amid typical late-May dry-season patterns and no incoming cold fronts. Historical May highs average 25°C, reinforcing positioning. Realistic challenges—unlikely sudden overcast or northerly winds—would require abrupt atmospheric shifts, absent in steering currents; final resolution awaits evening data from key stations like Benito Juárez International Airport.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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