Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 legislative elections follow a November 2025 coup that annulled prior results and installed a transitional military-led government, creating a fragmented contest for the 102-seat National People’s Assembly. Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” holds the highest implied probability at 30.7 percent, ahead of smaller parties including FLING, PS, MUNDO-GB, FREPASNA, and PT, reflecting a wide-open field with no party near a majority. Key differentiators include coalition-building capacity, regional and ethnic support bases, positions on restoring civilian rule and economic stability, and perceived distance from or alignment with transitional authorities. Consolidation behind one contender could hinge on pre-election alliances, campaign momentum, or international election monitoring outcomes that shift trader assessments of likely seat shares.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ギニアビサウ国民議会選挙の勝者
ギニアビサウ国民議会選挙の勝者
FLING 8.5%
PS 5.6%
MUNDO-GB 4.7%
FREPASNA 3.7%
$156,673 Vol.
$156,673 Vol.
2025/11/23
FLING
9%
PS
6%
MUNDO-GB
5%
FREPASNA
4%
PT
3%
プラットフォーマ・レウプブリカーナ「ノ・クンプ・ギネ」
31%
FLING 8.5%
PS 5.6%
MUNDO-GB 4.7%
FREPASNA 3.7%
$156,673 Vol.
$156,673 Vol.
2025/11/23
FLING
$12,806 Vol.
9%
PS
$24,851 Vol.
6%
MUNDO-GB
$22,722 Vol.
5%
FREPASNA
$26,649 Vol.
4%
PT
$21,794 Vol.
3%
プラットフォーマ・レウプブリカーナ「ノ・クンプ・ギネ」
$47,851 Vol.
31%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 legislative elections follow a November 2025 coup that annulled prior results and installed a transitional military-led government, creating a fragmented contest for the 102-seat National People’s Assembly. Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” holds the highest implied probability at 30.7 percent, ahead of smaller parties including FLING, PS, MUNDO-GB, FREPASNA, and PT, reflecting a wide-open field with no party near a majority. Key differentiators include coalition-building capacity, regional and ethnic support bases, positions on restoring civilian rule and economic stability, and perceived distance from or alignment with transitional authorities. Consolidation behind one contender could hinge on pre-election alliances, campaign momentum, or international election monitoring outcomes that shift trader assessments of likely seat shares.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
マーケット開始日： Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
音量
$156,673終了日
2025/11/23マーケット開始日
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 legislative elections follow a November 2025 coup that annulled prior results and installed a transitional military-led government, creating a fragmented contest for the 102-seat National People’s Assembly. Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” holds the highest implied probability at 30.7 percent, ahead of smaller parties including FLING, PS, MUNDO-GB, FREPASNA, and PT, reflecting a wide-open field with no party near a majority. Key differentiators include coalition-building capacity, regional and ethnic support bases, positions on restoring civilian rule and economic stability, and perceived distance from or alignment with transitional authorities. Consolidation behind one contender could hinge on pre-election alliances, campaign momentum, or international election monitoring outcomes that shift trader assessments of likely seat shares.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
音量
$156,673終了日
2025/11/23マーケット開始日
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 legislative elections follow a November 2025 coup that annulled prior results and installed a transitional military-led government, creating a fragmented contest for the 102-seat National People’s Assembly. Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” holds the highest implied probability at 30.7 percent, ahead of smaller parties including FLING, PS, MUNDO-GB, FREPASNA, and PT, reflecting a wide-open field with no party near a majority. Key differentiators include coalition-building capacity, regional and ethnic support bases, positions on restoring civilian rule and economic stability, and perceived distance from or alignment with transitional authorities. Consolidation behind one contender could hinge on pre-election alliances, campaign momentum, or international election monitoring outcomes that shift trader assessments of likely seat shares.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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