Current forecast consensus from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather points to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Chongqing on June 15, supporting the market's highest implied probability at 31°C amid notable dispersion across nearby outcomes. Seasonal patterns in this subtropical region typically feature highs near 29–30°C with high humidity and frequent afternoon thunderstorms that can suppress peaks through evaporative cooling and increased cloud cover. Key variables include steering patterns that influence convective activity, local urban heat retention, and any last-minute shifts in model guidance on precipitation timing. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reading, with traders weighing the balance between clear-sky warming potential and rain-induced moderation in the final hours before measurement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 15?
31°C 31%
32°C 20%
30°C 19%
29°C 10%
28°C or below
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
19%
31°C
31%
32°C
20%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 31%
32°C 20%
30°C 19%
29°C 10%
28°C or below
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
19%
31°C
31%
32°C
20%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast consensus from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather points to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Chongqing on June 15, supporting the market's highest implied probability at 31°C amid notable dispersion across nearby outcomes. Seasonal patterns in this subtropical region typically feature highs near 29–30°C with high humidity and frequent afternoon thunderstorms that can suppress peaks through evaporative cooling and increased cloud cover. Key variables include steering patterns that influence convective activity, local urban heat retention, and any last-minute shifts in model guidance on precipitation timing. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reading, with traders weighing the balance between clear-sky warming potential and rain-induced moderation in the final hours before measurement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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