Current National Weather Service forecast models indicate daytime highs in Houston will reach the upper 80s or higher on May 15, supported by persistent southerly flow and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late-spring patterns in southeast Texas. Climatological records show mid-May average highs near 85°F, with recent surface observations aligning with seasonal warming and no significant frontal passages expected. This consensus from official guidance drives the near-certain market-implied odds for 86°F or above. An unforecasted cold front or widespread cloud cover and heavy rain could reduce maximum temperatures, though model runs show low probability of such shifts before the observation window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Houston on May 15?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 15?
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$18,230 Vol.
$18,230 Vol.
2026/05/15
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
Yes
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$18,230 Vol.
$18,230 Vol.
2026/05/15
67°F or below
$1,186 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$1,303 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$1,298 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$1,499 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,911 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,037 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$1,004 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$1,047 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$1,752 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$3,839 Vol.
No
86°F or higher
$2,354 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service forecast models indicate daytime highs in Houston will reach the upper 80s or higher on May 15, supported by persistent southerly flow and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late-spring patterns in southeast Texas. Climatological records show mid-May average highs near 85°F, with recent surface observations aligning with seasonal warming and no significant frontal passages expected. This consensus from official guidance drives the near-certain market-implied odds for 86°F or above. An unforecasted cold front or widespread cloud cover and heavy rain could reduce maximum temperatures, though model runs show low probability of such shifts before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
音量
$18,230終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service forecast models indicate daytime highs in Houston will reach the upper 80s or higher on May 15, supported by persistent southerly flow and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late-spring patterns in southeast Texas. Climatological records show mid-May average highs near 85°F, with recent surface observations aligning with seasonal warming and no significant frontal passages expected. This consensus from official guidance drives the near-certain market-implied odds for 86°F or above. An unforecasted cold front or widespread cloud cover and heavy rain could reduce maximum temperatures, though model runs show low probability of such shifts before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$18,230終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current National Weather Service forecast models indicate daytime highs in Houston will reach the upper 80s or higher on May 15, supported by persistent southerly flow and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late-spring patterns in southeast Texas. Climatological records show mid-May average highs near 85°F, with recent surface observations aligning with seasonal warming and no significant frontal passages expected. This consensus from official guidance drives the near-certain market-implied odds for 86°F or above. An unforecasted cold front or widespread cloud cover and heavy rain could reduce maximum temperatures, though model runs show low probability of such shifts before the observation window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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