Trader consensus assigns a near-100% implied probability to 23°C or below for Qingdao's highest temperature on May 14, 2026, backed by official surface observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) recording a daily maximum of 18°C. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) bulletins and Wunderground data confirm this peak amid fine skies, moderate southeast winds (16-24 km/h), and limited solar heating from a cool air mass over Shandong province—well under the 21°C May climatological average. ECMWF and GFS models accurately predicted the subdued warm-up, with hourly highs around 17.8°C. As the day ends, uncertainty is negligible; only a rare post-finalization revision to records could shift outcomes, though such adjustments seldom exceed 1°C upward.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 14?
23°C or below 100.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$18,601 Vol.
$18,601 Vol.
23°C or below
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
23°C or below 100.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$18,601 Vol.
$18,601 Vol.
23°C or below
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
Trader consensus assigns a near-100% implied probability to 23°C or below for Qingdao's highest temperature on May 14, 2026, backed by official surface observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) recording a daily maximum of 18°C. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) bulletins and Wunderground data confirm this peak amid fine skies, moderate southeast winds (16-24 km/h), and limited solar heating from a cool air mass over Shandong province—well under the 21°C May climatological average. ECMWF and GFS models accurately predicted the subdued warm-up, with hourly highs around 17.8°C. As the day ends, uncertainty is negligible; only a rare post-finalization revision to records could shift outcomes, though such adjustments seldom exceed 1°C upward.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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