Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park (KNYC) automated station recorded New York City's daily minimum temperature of 54°F on May 13, 2026, as confirmed in the preliminary daily climate report issued late that day, driving the market-implied 100% probability on the 54-55°F outcome. Hourly data showed consistent overnight readings around 54-55°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-dawn minima typical for mid-May in the region, where climatological normals average 54°F. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified ASOS measurements, with negligible risk of revision barring rare sensor anomalies or quality-control adjustments, expected to finalize within 24-48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Lowest temperature in NYC on May 13?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 13?
54-55°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$18,446 Vol.
$18,446 Vol.
2026/05/13
43°F or below
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
Yes
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F or higher
No
54-55°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$18,446 Vol.
$18,446 Vol.
2026/05/13
43°F or below
$1,320 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$2,001 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$1,484 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$1,668 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$1,373 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$2,033 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$5,120 Vol.
Yes
56-57°F
$849 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$542 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$1,237 Vol.
No
62°F or higher
$818 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park (KNYC) automated station recorded New York City's daily minimum temperature of 54°F on May 13, 2026, as confirmed in the preliminary daily climate report issued late that day, driving the market-implied 100% probability on the 54-55°F outcome. Hourly data showed consistent overnight readings around 54-55°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-dawn minima typical for mid-May in the region, where climatological normals average 54°F. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified ASOS measurements, with negligible risk of revision barring rare sensor anomalies or quality-control adjustments, expected to finalize within 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$18,446終了日
2026/05/13マーケット開始日
May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park (KNYC) automated station recorded New York City's daily minimum temperature of 54°F on May 13, 2026, as confirmed in the preliminary daily climate report issued late that day, driving the market-implied 100% probability on the 54-55°F outcome. Hourly data showed consistent overnight readings around 54-55°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-dawn minima typical for mid-May in the region, where climatological normals average 54°F. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified ASOS measurements, with negligible risk of revision barring rare sensor anomalies or quality-control adjustments, expected to finalize within 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$18,446終了日
2026/05/13マーケット開始日
May 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park (KNYC) automated station recorded New York City's daily minimum temperature of 54°F on May 13, 2026, as confirmed in the preliminary daily climate report issued late that day, driving the market-implied 100% probability on the 54-55°F outcome. Hourly data showed consistent overnight readings around 54-55°F under partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-dawn minima typical for mid-May in the region, where climatological normals average 54°F. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus reflects verified ASOS measurements, with negligible risk of revision barring rare sensor anomalies or quality-control adjustments, expected to finalize within 24-48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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